PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be at least 12 hours?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://www.githubstatus.com/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.025. down 0.045 over the period, from 0.070. Range 0.025 to 0.085. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.03966
0.0402026
0.0483056
0.049100156
0.05040196
0.07910206
0.080110316
0.08452368
0.09985453
0.100233685
0.169150835
0.1705840

Spread0.027Mid0.026

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0124040
0.0111,2001,240
0.01051,245
0.004241,269
0.003471,315
0.0022341,549
0.0011691,718

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9884040
0.9891,2001,240
0.99051,245
0.996241,269
0.997471,315
0.9982341,549
0.9991691,718

Spread0.027Mid0.974

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.96166
0.9602026
0.9523056
0.951100156
0.95040196
0.92110206
0.920110316
0.91652368
0.90185453
0.900233685
0.831150835
0.8305840

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
ibeliveKAIYes465.25
sdfsdfsdfsdf2Yes240
jozeslemsekYes200
MajasYes100
FihdrzgddYes66
Numitus1994Yes51
HaradwaithYes50.1
tradetosurvive1Yes50
0x3a9d…f332Yes50
0xd38F5f17D57b4deD218dfCBcA4Bd8dEEe78ABf78-1782112319192Yes40
AJSVYes35.79
Bsau4Yes32.5
GuyFromTinderYes25.41
a5533Yes10
helic0pterYes6.13
monoclithYes5
PavtheGreatNo717
0xa5ef…2966No411.95
LornaPredictsNo157.01
Maximus374No55

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:35:18SELLYes0.0213$0.27
15:34:54SELLYes0.036$0.18
15:34:30SELLYes0.0481$3.22
15:34:27SELLYes0.04100$4.00
15:34:20SELLYes0.06150$9.00
15:34:11SELLYes0.0650$3.00
15:34:02SELLYes0.07600$42.00
16:15:01BUYYes0.0725$1.75
16:07:12BUYYes0.0725$1.75
15:26:51SELLYes0.0520$1.00
17:19:13SELLYes0.0640$2.40
16:52:09SELLNo0.9225$22.99
15:52:37SELLYes0.051450928210$10.78
12:50:04BUYNo0.853$2.55
20:59:37BUYNo0.8527$22.95
20:59:34BUYNo0.855$4.25
15:30:46SELLNo0.8455$46.20
09:00:00BUYYes0.16130$20.80
08:15:58SELLNo0.845$4.20
15:00:36BUYYes0.1530$4.50
06:20:42BUYYes0.1611$1.69
06:13:03BUYYes0.158966408348$7.69
04:17:09BUYNo0.8538$32.24
04:12:57BUYNo0.858$6.80
04:12:57BUYNo0.859$7.65