PolyBot

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Traders

helic0pter

0x4b3e2546b0cd99f7583340a16768a58b465acfae

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$236.0k
Markets traded
4,224
Open portfolio
$57.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded4,224
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Stripe have the greatest valuation growth in October 2026? · Yes0.0070.442$15.33+$15.08
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0040.331$7.96+$7.86
Will OpenAI have the greatest valuation growth in October 2026? · No0.0130.095$5.53+$4.75
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-26 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.0100.455$3.54+$3.47
Will Gimnasia y Tiro (Salta) win the 2026 Primera Nacional (Argentina)? · Yes0.0200.495$3.23+$3.10
Will Deportivo Madryn win the 2026 Primera Nacional (Argentina)? · Yes0.0200.495$3.23+$3.10
Will A.J. Brown have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.0160.285$2.56+$2.42
Will Elon Musk be 3rd richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0070.161$2.06+$1.97
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0100.026$1.04+$0.65
Will Jalen Hurts have 19.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.0040.016$0.91+$0.65
Will Sarah Knafo win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0020.021$0.84+$0.76
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.0040.036$0.71+$0.64
Will Christine Lagarde win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0050.037$0.59+$0.51
Will Jalen Hurts have 25.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.0300.031$0.57+$0.02
Will Gabriel Pidomson win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0030.013$0.55+$0.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 14:04Will "Surviving Hurricane Otis" be the top US Netflix movie this week?SELL0.024$0.43
10-30 11:43Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 15%-20%?SELL0.005$0.23
10-30 06:04Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?SELL0.051$0.35
10-29 22:31Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?SELL0.049$0.34
10-29 16:05Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.033$0.33
10-29 13:30Will Deck-Man: Cassette Player be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?SELL0.02$0.78
10-29 13:26Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?SELL0.005$0.03
10-29 08:05Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 6?SELL0.04$0.25
10-28 22:11Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?SELL0.005$0.05
10-28 22:11Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?SELL0.03$0.88
10-28 22:11Will Deck-Man: Cassette Player be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?SELL0.005$0.05
10-28 16:54Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.008$0.09
10-28 13:28Will PCN win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?SELL0.145$1.22
10-28 13:28Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?SELL0.04$0.20
10-28 09:14Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 45%-50%?SELL0.049$0.14