helic0pter
0x4b3e2546b0cd99f7583340a16768a58b465acfae
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $236.0k
- Markets traded
- 4,224
- Open portfolio
- $57.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded4,224
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$968.01at 0.001Exact Score: FC København 0 - 3 Lyngby BK?
- +$159.59at 0.033Will Oklahoma win the 2026 College World Series?
- +$121.24at 0.060Will North Carolina win the 2026 College World Series?
- +$109.09at 0.001Will FC Seoul win on 2026-08-30?
- +$104.62at 0.106Will West Virginia win the 2026 College World Series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:04 | Will "Surviving Hurricane Otis" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.43 |
| 10-30 11:43 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.23 |
| 10-30 06:04 | Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.35 |
| 10-29 22:31 | Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? | SELL | 0.049 | $0.34 |
| 10-29 16:05 | Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.33 |
| 10-29 13:30 | Will Deck-Man: Cassette Player be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.78 |
| 10-29 13:26 | Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 10-29 08:05 | Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 6? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.25 |
| 10-28 22:11 | Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.05 |
| 10-28 22:11 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.88 |
| 10-28 22:11 | Will Deck-Man: Cassette Player be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.05 |
| 10-28 16:54 | Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.09 |
| 10-28 13:28 | Will PCN win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election? | SELL | 0.145 | $1.22 |
| 10-28 13:28 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 10-28 09:14 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 45%-50%? | SELL | 0.049 | $0.14 |