PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

helic0pter

0x4b3e2546b0cd99f7583340a16768a58b465acfae

Realised P&L
$2.6k
Volume
$192.6k
Markets traded
3,504
Open portfolio
$17.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded3,504
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration69.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sergey Malinkovich win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections? · Yes0.0030.025$2.04+$1.84
Will United Russia win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections? · No0.0460.072$1.48+$0.54
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yes0.0070.034$0.91+$0.72
Will Olga Levina win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections? · Yes0.0040.022$0.89+$0.75
Will M8 Music Tracker be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yes0.0110.021$0.77+$0.37
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 25%-35%? · Yes0.0100.033$0.65+$0.45
Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.4% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026? · Yes0.0110.068$0.51+$0.42
Will Vitaly Korolev win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections? · No0.0150.032$0.49+$0.26
Will Igor Yakovenko win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections? · Yes0.0010.028$0.45+$0.44
Will A Just Russia win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes0.0250.029$0.45+$0.06
Will Ehsan Kangarani win the next Göttingen mayoral election? · Yes0.0300.068$0.44+$0.24
Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · Yes0.0130.060$0.42+$0.33
Will Meta’s market capitalization be less than $1.00T at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0040.037$0.38+$0.34
Will CPRF win the next Orenburg Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes0.0300.021$0.35$0.13
Will Monika Lešková win the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0400.053$0.34+$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:47Will Apple get the U.S. English-language rights to broadcast the 2030 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.008$0.06
09-17 17:17Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.037$0.03
09-17 17:17Will Eliot Estévez-Verville win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?SELL0.014$0.20
09-17 16:24Will Farnell Morisset win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?SELL0.005$0.05
09-17 16:24Will Sergei Pavlovich be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.009$0.06
09-17 16:24Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be at least 12 hours?SELL0.01$0.05
09-17 16:24Will Gemma Chan win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.01$0.00
09-17 16:24Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?SELL0.03$0.15
09-17 16:24Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?SELL0.007$0.04
09-17 16:24Will Geoffrey Summers win the next Burnie mayoral election?SELL0.02$0.12
09-17 16:24Will ZooMaa Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?SELL0.007$0.05
09-17 16:24Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.04$0.20
09-17 12:18Will Fox get the U.S. English-language rights to broadcast the 2030 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.065$0.40
09-17 08:24Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 45% or more?SELL0.02$0.13
09-17 08:24Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?SELL0.082$0.43