PolyBot

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Traders

Majas

0x4959175440b8f38229b32f2f036057f6893ea6f5

Realised P&L
$-26.8k
Volume
$14.11M
Markets traded
24,811
Open portfolio
$9.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded24,811
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:04Will Cameron Ward have 3,049.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.3599999939$9.38
11-01 23:03Will Joe Burrow have 3,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.8099999922$8.29
11-01 22:53Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?BUY0.9139978235$145.15
11-01 22:46Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.9199999969$11.97
11-01 22:37Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 30%-35%?BUY0.6339898779$46.78
11-01 22:34Will "Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.8476923077$55.10
11-01 22:28Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?BUY0.1099999917$1.33
11-01 22:25Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?BUY0.4299999983$45.28
11-01 22:22Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 20%-25%?BUY0.83$78.02
11-01 22:20Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?BUY0.8799999999$284.80
11-01 22:15Will there be 5+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?BUY0.7299999979$77.27
11-01 22:13Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000?BUY0.94$58.78
11-01 22:12Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-13 House election by 0%-3%?BUY0.134$4.90
11-01 22:09Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.9469999971$303.72
11-01 21:59Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?BUY0.15$7.50