Majas
0x4959175440b8f38229b32f2f036057f6893ea6f5
- Realised P&L
- $21.8k
- Volume
- $10.26M
- Markets traded
- 15,784
- Open portfolio
- $12.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15,784
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.4kat 0.500Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$6.1kat 0.500Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$5.4kat 0.500Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
- +$4.4kat 0.500Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?
- +$4.1kat 0.500Will Barcelona win La Liga?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:28 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.903 | $270.90 |
| 09-17 20:06 | Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $15.01 |
| 09-17 14:16 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.50160036 | $50.16 |
| 09-17 14:15 | Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | SELL | 0.588 | $47.04 |
| 09-17 14:00 | Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat? | SELL | 0.9 | $100.80 |
| 09-17 13:59 | Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.68 | $46.92 |
| 09-17 13:58 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.622 | $124.40 |
| 09-17 11:29 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.774 | $77.40 |
| 09-17 11:11 | Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.78 | $141.18 |
| 09-17 11:09 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.784 | $235.20 |
| 09-17 11:08 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.435 | $130.50 |
| 09-17 10:31 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.86 | $34.40 |
| 09-17 10:24 | Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 09-17 09:28 | StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.964 | $96.40 |
| 09-17 08:26 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 25%-30%? | SELL | 0.72 | $28.80 |