Majas
0x4959175440b8f38229b32f2f036057f6893ea6f5
- Realised P&L
- $-26.8k
- Volume
- $14.11M
- Markets traded
- 24,811
- Open portfolio
- $9.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded24,811
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.4kat 0.500Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$6.1kat 0.500Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$5.4kat 0.500Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
- +$4.4kat 0.500Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?
- +$4.1kat 0.500Will Barcelona win La Liga?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:04 | Will Cameron Ward have 3,049.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.3599999939 | $9.38 |
| 11-01 23:03 | Will Joe Burrow have 3,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.8099999922 | $8.29 |
| 11-01 22:53 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.9139978235 | $145.15 |
| 11-01 22:46 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9199999969 | $11.97 |
| 11-01 22:37 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 30%-35%? | BUY | 0.6339898779 | $46.78 |
| 11-01 22:34 | Will "Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8476923077 | $55.10 |
| 11-01 22:28 | Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election? | BUY | 0.1099999917 | $1.33 |
| 11-01 22:25 | Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | BUY | 0.4299999983 | $45.28 |
| 11-01 22:22 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.83 | $78.02 |
| 11-01 22:20 | Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8799999999 | $284.80 |
| 11-01 22:15 | Will there be 5+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.7299999979 | $77.27 |
| 11-01 22:13 | Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000? | BUY | 0.94 | $58.78 |
| 11-01 22:12 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-13 House election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.134 | $4.90 |
| 11-01 22:09 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9469999971 | $303.72 |
| 11-01 21:59 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.50 |