jozeslemsek
0xd0bf186c69a936395c84d6b45bbd39eadfcf9f9f
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $1.24M
- Markets traded
- 643
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded643
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.43at 0.329Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
- +$52.14at 0.013Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$51.00at 0.002Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$49.81at 0.002Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$47.75at 0.013Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:35 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $22.36 |
| 09-16 18:08 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $65.81 |
| 09-16 18:04 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.021 | $19.07 |
| 09-15 19:32 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.057 | $28.50 |
| 09-14 23:59 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.60 |
| 09-14 16:10 | Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $7.25 |
| 09-14 10:59 | Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.42 |
| 09-13 00:41 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.006 | $4.80 |
| 09-12 10:24 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.03 | $12.25 |
| 09-11 21:31 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.004 | $12.25 |
| 09-11 19:38 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.023 | $123.94 |
| 09-11 14:06 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 14:06 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.021 | $9.98 |
| 09-10 14:14 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.67 |
| 09-09 13:28 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.016 | $1.60 |