jozeslemsek
0xd0bf186c69a936395c84d6b45bbd39eadfcf9f9f
- Realised P&L
- $2.8k
- Volume
- $2.76M
- Markets traded
- 878
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded878
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$281.99at 0.003Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$167.66at 0.070Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$112.98at 0.005Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$99.26at 0.093Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?
- +$84.14at 0.016Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 17:53 | Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.03 |
| 10-29 22:48 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.228 | $83.67 |
| 10-29 17:37 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.029 | $32.87 |
| 10-29 17:34 | Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.0222158055 | $0.73 |
| 10-29 17:31 | Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.33 |
| 10-29 17:29 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.94 |
| 10-29 17:28 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 10-29 17:27 | Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.47 |
| 10-29 17:24 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.18 |
| 10-29 17:20 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 17:16 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be less than $0.50 on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0021351835 | $1.79 |
| 10-29 17:15 | Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $15.00 |
| 10-29 17:10 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.74 |
| 10-29 17:01 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $6.90 |
| 10-29 16:55 | Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $7.46 |