PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jozeslemsek

0xd0bf186c69a936395c84d6b45bbd39eadfcf9f9f

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$1.24M
Markets traded
643
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded643
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0200.018$318.76$21.47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0280.017$137.99$94.75
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0100.011$110.47+$4.83
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0070.009$48.44+$10.32
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1890.226$45.10+$7.30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.006$38.93+$1.21
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0400.055$25.67+$7.00
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0120.011$23.00$1.00
US x China Military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0310.027$21.76$3.22
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0040.004$18.49+$0.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0280.029$17.18+$0.25
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0600.055$16.50$1.50
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? · Yes0.0020.029$15.49+$14.44
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.1850.130$13.00$5.50
Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · Yes0.0020.003$12.77+$6.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:35Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.015$22.36
09-16 18:08Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.015$65.81
09-16 18:04Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.021$19.07
09-15 19:32Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.057$28.50
09-14 23:59Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.08$5.60
09-14 16:10Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.05$7.25
09-14 10:59Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?SELL0.001$0.42
09-13 00:41Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.006$4.80
09-12 10:24Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.03$12.25
09-11 21:31Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.004$12.25
09-11 19:38Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.023$123.94
09-11 14:06Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$2.00
09-11 14:06Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.021$9.98
09-10 14:14Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?BUY0.001$0.67
09-09 13:28Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.016$1.60