PolyBot

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Traders

PavtheGreat

0x048a9d673a40171a1cf44ef518893d35fdf09be4

Realised P&L
$635.63
Volume
$324.8k
Markets traded
361
Open portfolio
$26.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded361
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 16:21Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.3316275$132.65
09-16 13:56Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?SELL0.0731516667$21.95
09-16 13:56Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?SELL0.09$1.80
09-15 23:25Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?BUY0.76$304.00
09-15 16:12Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.686660515$319.98
09-15 16:11Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.4843201439$269.28
09-15 16:06Amazon announces a training pause by October 31?BUY0.81$97.20
09-15 16:05Meta announces a training pause by October 31?BUY0.75$105.00
09-15 16:04Microsoft announces a training pause by October 31?BUY0.73$51.83
09-15 15:46Meta matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?BUY0.76$160.85
09-15 15:42SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?BUY0.6045224719$215.21
09-15 15:33Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.7617246753$175.96
09-14 19:18Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?BUY0.7$350.00
09-14 19:14Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.88$68.64
09-14 19:06Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by October 31?BUY0.5634125$139.73