ChatYo
0x8554f5b93ea60c35c0874eddb272fa4e1175da4b
- Realised P&L
- $391.16
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $452.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12? · No | 0.730 | 0.885 | $204.43 | +$35.83 |
| Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026? · Yes | 0.554 | 0.455 | $149.38 | −$32.39 |
| Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.283 | $99.08 | +$47.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.249Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?
- +$77.48at 0.325Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?
- +$61.22at 0.922Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be less than 1 hour?
- +$36.96at 0.691Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
- +$10.56at 0.689GitHub.com critical incident by September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 09:56 | Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $15.96 |
| 10-13 09:51 | Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026? | BUY | 0.5699998011 | $1.49 |
| 10-13 09:49 | Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026? | BUY | 0.5536125802 | $98.40 |
| 10-13 08:24 | Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $102.30 |
| 10-12 13:34 | Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026? | BUY | 0.088 | $11.44 |
| 10-12 02:23 | Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $334.55 |
| 10-10 23:12 | Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $32.79 |
| 10-10 23:11 | Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026? | SELL | 0.208 | $34.32 |
| 10-10 15:38 | Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $28.75 |
| 10-09 23:05 | Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 10-09 22:45 | Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.31 |
| 10-08 14:50 | Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $38.00 |
| 10-08 09:54 | Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.30 |
| 10-08 09:54 | Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.51 |
| 10-08 08:41 | Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.08 |