PolyBot

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Traders

0xb141b29993bf40c9936a3cf5a516533a9368aa2

0x8554f5b93ea60c35c0874eddb272fa4e1175da4b

Realised P&L
$126.10
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$320.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026? · No0.7530.943$167.18+$33.68
ChatGPT outage on August 7, 2026? · No0.8900.950$66.50+$4.20
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes0.1490.105$51.12$21.29
ChatGPT outage on August 11, 2026? · No0.8250.890$35.60+$2.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 15:09Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
08-07 14:50ChatGPT outage on August 11, 2026?BUY0.83$16.60
08-07 14:50ChatGPT outage on August 11, 2026?BUY0.82$16.40
08-07 14:44Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.11$4.40
08-07 14:38ChatGPT outage on August 7, 2026?BUY0.89$62.30
08-07 14:02Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026?BUY0.859$33.50
08-07 14:02Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?SELL0.974$1.2k
08-07 13:30Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.14$4.20
08-07 13:29Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.1461276064$10.00
08-07 09:54Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026?BUY0.7226367431$100.00
08-07 04:05Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.1794666667$26.92
08-07 03:21Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?SELL0.98$49.00
08-07 03:19Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?SELL0.98$294.00
08-06 07:27Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?BUY0.628$6.28
08-06 07:27Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?BUY0.628$34.54