0xb141b29993bf40c9936a3cf5a516533a9368aa2
0x8554f5b93ea60c35c0874eddb272fa4e1175da4b
- Realised P&L
- $126.10
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $320.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026? · No | 0.753 | 0.943 | $167.18 | +$33.68 |
| ChatGPT outage on August 7, 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.950 | $66.50 | +$4.20 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.105 | $51.12 | −$21.29 |
| ChatGPT outage on August 11, 2026? · No | 0.825 | 0.890 | $35.60 | +$2.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.12at 0.618Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.347Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
- +$0.00at 0.570Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 15:09 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 14:50 | ChatGPT outage on August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 08-07 14:50 | ChatGPT outage on August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 08-07 14:44 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.40 |
| 08-07 14:38 | ChatGPT outage on August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $62.30 |
| 08-07 14:02 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.859 | $33.50 |
| 08-07 14:02 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.974 | $1.2k |
| 08-07 13:30 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.20 |
| 08-07 13:29 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.1461276064 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 09:54 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7226367431 | $100.00 |
| 08-07 04:05 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.1794666667 | $26.92 |
| 08-07 03:21 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 08-07 03:19 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $294.00 |
| 08-06 07:27 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.628 | $6.28 |
| 08-06 07:27 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.628 | $34.54 |