PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-09-20
Resolves by
https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.39. up 0.13 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.20 to 0.54. 144 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.40337337
0.41602939
0.4260999
0.461241,123
0.47671,190
0.48191,210
0.49401,250
0.50201,270
0.512151,486
0.52851,571
0.54501,621
0.552001,821

Spread0.02Mid0.39

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.38843843
0.379901,833
0.36271,859
0.35901,949
0.34501,999
0.30232,023
0.292282,250
0.2682,259
0.242012,460
0.2352,465
0.22662,531
0.03122,543

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.62843843
0.639901,833
0.64271,859
0.65901,949
0.66501,999
0.70232,023
0.712282,250
0.7482,259
0.762012,460
0.7752,465
0.78662,531
0.97122,543

Spread0.02Mid0.61

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.60337337
0.59602939
0.5860999
0.541241,123
0.53671,190
0.52191,210
0.51401,250
0.50201,270
0.492151,486
0.48851,571
0.46501,621
0.452001,821

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes700
shiifooYes280
AJSVYes224.43
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes100
pootytherewardfarmerYes74
0x3a9d…f332Yes55.03
dsfd3Yes50
sdssdsYes50
gavinfundaYes50
S888Yes42.03
0x1894B184374aB530Eacd0A55477f2253BEafA936-1780076507354Yes36
RememberAmalekYes33.59
MaxVisionYes18.8
etghzcerYes18.37
Kirt4shYes16.75
0x1B15D2193E4eac1dDDa50Fd22511c511235196D4-1772364148568Yes16
lissartterYes16
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes15.35
BalancedmindYes8.04
0xf63d…c4cbYes6.25

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:31:24BUYYes0.43$1.31
19:29:18BUYNo0.60999991163$2.00
19:23:19BUYNo0.60999991163$2.00
19:23:18BUYYes0.45$2.00
13:44:55BUYYes0.45$2.00
13:11:46BUYNo0.60999991163$2.00
13:11:46BUYYes0.45$2.00
13:11:43BUYYes0.45$2.00
13:02:24BUYYes0.45$2.00
13:02:21BUYNo0.60999991163$2.00
13:02:21BUYYes0.43$1.00
13:02:19BUYNo0.60999991163$2.00
12:59:30SELLNo0.63$1.79
12:48:54SELLNo0.60$0.09
12:31:28BUYYes0.45$2.00
12:12:13BUYNo0.60999991163$2.00
12:12:09BUYNo0.60999991163$2.00
12:12:09BUYNo0.60999972552$1.00
12:11:03BUYNo0.60999994888$5.00
11:45:22BUYYes0.409999999449$20.21
11:40:16BUYNo0.609999980917$10.20
11:40:07SELLNo0.6250$149.99
11:40:07BUYYes0.4150$20.50
07:11:15BUYYes0.45$2.00
06:46:31BUYYes0.45$2.00