PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Balancedmind

0xdbdb141119ae279b88af7e8c94444e26a2ccb241

Realised P&L
$476.85
Volume
$191.6k
Markets traded
16,245
Open portfolio
$479.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16,245
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 18? · No0.3601.000$21.63+$13.84
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 20? · Yes0.5690.640$17.71+$1.97
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18? · Yes0.4900.997$14.96+$7.61
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 18? · No0.6201.000$11.99+$4.55
Will Noe Khlif advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.2400.585$11.70+$6.90
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18? · No0.4200.650$11.70+$4.14
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 19? · Yes0.2700.400$10.79+$3.51
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.6830.685$10.73+$0.03
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1? · No0.4000.990$10.37+$6.17
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 19? · Yes0.2400.330$10.23+$2.79
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19? · Yes0.3480.425$10.01+$1.82
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 20? · Yes0.4500.555$9.99+$1.89
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 19? · No0.6550.755$9.27+$1.23
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 7-10%? · Yes0.3300.998$9.25+$6.19
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 20? · No0.7500.865$9.11+$1.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 16:58Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.4099999739$2.20
09-18 16:51SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5BUY0.55$2.75
09-18 16:51SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 3.5BUY0.79$3.95
09-18 16:51Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.32$2.07
09-18 16:50Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.4499999217$2.30
09-18 16:49Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)BUY0.369999977$2.09
09-18 16:34W15 Sao Luis: Leticia Garcia Vidal vs Ava CatanzariteBUY0.309999989$1.98
09-18 16:34W15 Sao Luis: Leticia Garcia Vidal vs Ava CatanzariteBUY0.309999989$1.98
09-18 16:10Caldas da Rainha: Jeline Vandromme vs Francisca JorgeBUY0.869999992$4.36
09-18 15:53Will Widzew Lodz win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.4799999386$2.50
09-18 15:52Will FC Groningen win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.6499999618$3.40
09-18 15:50Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.5499999241$2.90
09-18 15:48AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5BUY0.6099999581$3.20
09-18 15:47FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 5.5BUY0.5899999543$3.10
09-18 15:40Salford City FC vs. Swindon Town FC: O/U 4.5BUY0.2399999805$1.97