PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ConsensusOfCredibleReporting

0x0275ac8f6793cc3ffe90dc1095330e240622b936

Realised P&L
$415.37
Volume
$635.2k
Markets traded
12,385
Open portfolio
$557.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12,385
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have fewer than 143 seats after the 2026 election? · Yes0.0200.140$16.46+$14.11
Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027? · Yes0.0600.265$9.56+$7.40
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026? · No0.0130.040$9.29+$6.27
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18? · Yes0.1200.280$7.54+$4.31
Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1500.305$6.95+$3.53
Will Waymo launch in San Diego, CA by December 31 2026? · No0.0500.105$6.51+$3.41
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? · Yes0.2090.388$6.44+$2.97
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18? · Yes0.1700.320$6.38+$2.99
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in September? · No0.2500.395$6.07+$2.23
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? · Yes0.2300.390$5.99+$2.46
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? · No0.2000.335$5.88+$2.37
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2000.345$5.76+$2.42
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? · Yes0.2300.375$5.73+$2.21
Will Drew Campbell be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 10)? · Yes0.1100.200$5.69+$2.56
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? · No0.2300.375$5.64+$2.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 21:03Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?SELL0.07$0.42
09-17 19:48Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?SELL0.17$1.02
09-17 19:31Will CDU win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?SELL0.35$5.16
09-17 18:46Will Marilyn Crawford win the 2026 Ajax mayoral election?SELL0.15$2.26
09-17 18:16Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?SELL0.012$0.07
09-17 16:37Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in September?SELL0.01$0.06
09-17 15:51Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?SELL0.14$0.84
09-17 13:17Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?SELL0.39$5.21
09-17 12:55Will PQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?SELL0.017$0.10
09-17 11:47Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?SELL0.12$4.15
09-17 11:22Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?SELL0.24$1.44
09-17 11:18Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.27$1.62
09-17 10:58Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in September?SELL0.006$0.04
09-17 06:07Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?SELL0.033$1.50
09-17 06:05Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?SELL0.001$0.01