ConsensusOfCredibleReporting
0x0275ac8f6793cc3ffe90dc1095330e240622b936
- Realised P&L
- $415.37
- Volume
- $635.2k
- Markets traded
- 12,385
- Open portfolio
- $557.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12,385
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$111.96at 0.400Will the government shutdown end November 12?
- +$96.60at 0.018Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$92.29at 0.922Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$45.59at 0.130Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
- +$42.83at 0.020Will "The Sin: Bliss" - ENHYPEN first week album sales be between 100k and 120k?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:03 | Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.42 |
| 09-17 19:48 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.02 |
| 09-17 19:31 | Will CDU win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.35 | $5.16 |
| 09-17 18:46 | Will Marilyn Crawford win the 2026 Ajax mayoral election? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.26 |
| 09-17 18:16 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.07 |
| 09-17 16:37 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in September? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.06 |
| 09-17 15:51 | Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.84 |
| 09-17 13:17 | Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election? | SELL | 0.39 | $5.21 |
| 09-17 12:55 | Will PQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.10 |
| 09-17 11:47 | Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | SELL | 0.12 | $4.15 |
| 09-17 11:22 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.44 |
| 09-17 11:18 | Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.62 |
| 09-17 10:58 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in September? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.04 |
| 09-17 06:07 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.033 | $1.50 |
| 09-17 06:05 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |