PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf63de2ad5ce8c7e81760ad2611bdb3ac0e72c4cb

Realised P&L
$-13.10
Volume
$574.28
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$12.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026? · No0.7170.540$8.93$2.92
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? · Yes0.3200.390$2.44+$0.44
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2900.245$0.84$0.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 05:28Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?BUY0.32$2.00
09-16 05:26Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.115$2.07
09-15 21:17Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7169747803$11.85
09-15 21:16Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.96$10.51
09-12 20:21Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1109999878$1.00
09-12 20:21Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1109999878$1.00
09-12 19:45Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
07-19 21:01Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?SELL0.65$1.97
07-19 20:23Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.089999919$1.00
07-19 16:00Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.4274998076$1.00
07-19 15:53Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.032$1.00
07-19 15:52Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?SELL0.033$1.18
07-19 15:51Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
07-19 15:48Spain leading at halftime?BUY0.32$1.00
07-19 12:58Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.0419999612$1.00