etghzcer
0x7b89e13ed9d50428c466c6557c930ab17e4eddae
- Realised P&L
- $19.75
- Volume
- $32.8k
- Markets traded
- 428
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded428
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$213.24at 0.070US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$146.52at 0.033US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
- +$54.80at 0.115Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
- +$50.34at 0.094Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?
- +$46.20at 0.196Will Trump say "Ass" during his rally in Oklahoma?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 19:11 | Latvia parliamentary election vote share margin of victory: AS 15-20%? | BUY | 0.3099999985 | $10.05 |
| 10-03 14:39 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12? | BUY | 0.309999996 | $9.24 |
| 10-03 14:39 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 15? | BUY | 0.4 | $9.28 |
| 10-03 14:34 | Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $9.17 |
| 10-03 13:57 | Will UPB hold the second-most seats in the 2026 Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election? | BUY | 0.5999999862 | $8.72 |
| 10-03 12:01 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 10? | BUY | 0.2999999935 | $9.25 |
| 10-03 10:47 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 5? | BUY | 0.2773124939 | $9.18 |
| 10-03 07:08 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7869999929 | $9.31 |
| 10-03 05:51 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | BUY | 0.6650029041 | $10.42 |
| 10-03 03:25 | Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.5199999902 | $14.80 |
| 10-03 03:20 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.5545413059 | $9.59 |
| 10-03 03:14 | Will Trump say "Electric" or "Electricity" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.32 | $9.41 |
| 10-03 02:11 | Will "Climate" be in the headlines this week? | BUY | 0.5099999935 | $9.45 |
| 10-03 00:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.76 |
| 10-03 00:14 | Will Erika Kokay win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | BUY | 0.0875790399 | $20.59 |