Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-07-01
Resolves by: https://tcdata.typhoon.org.cn/en/dlrdqx.html
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.39. Unchanged over the period, from 0.39. Range 0.39 to 0.39. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.39	160	160
0.40	295	455
0.41	75	530
0.44	200	730
0.54	15	745
0.55	73	818
0.57	45	863
0.58	65	928
0.62	100	1,028
0.63	20	1,048
0.64	50	1,098
0.68	43	1,141

Spread0.01Mid0.39

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.38	170	170
0.37	731	901
0.36	386	1,287
0.35	5	1,292
0.34	5	1,297
0.32	99	1,396
0.28	25	1,421
0.27	50	1,471
0.12	40	1,511
0.10	717	2,228
0.09	1,111	3,339

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.62	170	170
0.63	731	901
0.64	386	1,287
0.65	5	1,292
0.66	5	1,297
0.68	99	1,396
0.72	25	1,421
0.73	50	1,471
0.88	40	1,511
0.90	717	2,228
0.91	1,111	3,339

Spread0.01Mid0.61

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.61	160	160
0.60	295	455
0.59	75	530
0.56	200	730
0.46	15	745
0.45	73	818
0.43	45	863
0.42	65	928
0.38	100	1,028
0.37	20	1,048
0.36	50	1,098
0.32	43	1,141

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
michi1	Yes	2,059.99
kupoz	Yes	1,215.16
dsfd3	Yes	620
Bertrame6868	Yes	340.99
Haradwaith	Yes	199.99
PontiusPilate	Yes	136.4
0x3a9d…f332	Yes	110
donthackme	Yes	108.64
Mithrandir.	Yes	100
0xFcA82164a87B8BA38e887bD594483d29a23c5795-1783087528596	Yes	65.63
zhili6648	Yes	56.57
citcap	Yes	44
ilovecarrots	Yes	13.22
Animus0	Yes	10.79
burge146	Yes	9.19
tryrktry	Yes	5
0xd38F5f17D57b4deD218dfCBcA4Bd8dEEe78ABf78-1782112319192	Yes	3.77
0xa5ef…2966	No	3,531.69
InterestingUser	No	743.23
Dr.PNL	No	594.98

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
05:29:00	SELL	No	0.61	5	$3.05
05:28:57	BUY	Yes	0.39	5	$1.95
05:28:54	BUY	Yes	0.39	5	$1.95
03:23:44	SELL	No	0.61	5	$3.05
03:23:41	BUY	Yes	0.39	5	$1.95
15:35:56	BUY	Yes	0.39	50	$19.50
23:01:14	BUY	No	0.62	10	$6.20
23:01:14	BUY	No	0.62	19	$11.90
23:01:14	BUY	No	0.6199999848	9	$5.70
23:01:12	BUY	No	0.62	30	$18.60
18:16:40	SELL	No	0.61	14	$8.69
13:17:40	SELL	No	0.61	50	$30.50
22:34:20	SELL	Yes	0.38	4	$1.43
14:00:24	SELL	Yes	0.38	47	$17.86
10:11:59	SELL	Yes	0.38	5	$1.90
09:52:55	SELL	Yes	0.39	20	$7.80
09:52:31	SELL	Yes	0.38	33	$12.54
09:52:29	SELL	Yes	0.39	45	$17.55
09:52:29	BUY	No	0.6175	20	$12.35
03:11:24	BUY	Yes	0.4	5	$2.00
03:10:30	BUY	Yes	0.4	5	$2.00
03:10:21	BUY	Yes	0.4	5	$2.00
03:10:13	BUY	Yes	0.4	5	$2.00
03:10:04	BUY	Yes	0.4	5	$2.00
03:09:57	BUY	Yes	0.4	5	$2.00