PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

citcap

0xdebdff6613619eaf2317945b4a65351f03cf49f3

Realised P&L
$-48.59
Volume
$43.4k
Markets traded
485
Open portfolio
$740.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded485
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:03Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?BUY0.29$8.70
11-01 18:20Will Nico Collins have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.39$7.79
11-01 18:07Beezie FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY0.2$6.00
10-31 18:00Beezie FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY0.22$6.60
10-31 15:35Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?SELL0.75$22.50
10-31 15:35Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?SELL0.42$12.60
10-31 15:29Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?SELL0.82$24.60
10-31 15:25Decibel FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.19$0.95
10-31 15:01Will Chris Godwin have 899.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.84$11.58
10-31 15:01Will Chris Godwin have 699.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.24$3.31
10-30 22:48Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY0.24$7.20
10-30 20:21TownSquare FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.43187$12.96
10-30 09:53Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?BUY0.43$12.90
10-30 05:56Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?BUY0.36$10.80
10-29 23:55Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.22$6.60