citcap
0xdebdff6613619eaf2317945b4a65351f03cf49f3
- Realised P&L
- $-48.59
- Volume
- $43.4k
- Markets traded
- 485
- Open portfolio
- $740.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded485
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.97at 0.399Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30?
- +$33.77at 0.123Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 5%-6.5%?
- +$22.32at 0.203Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $120B by August 31?
- +$17.76at 0.600Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $55B by August 31?
- +$17.16at 0.517Will Linera launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:03 | Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $8.70 |
| 11-01 18:20 | Will Nico Collins have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.79 |
| 11-01 18:07 | Beezie FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2 | $6.00 |
| 10-31 18:00 | Beezie FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.22 | $6.60 |
| 10-31 15:35 | Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $22.50 |
| 10-31 15:35 | Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027? | SELL | 0.42 | $12.60 |
| 10-31 15:29 | Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $24.60 |
| 10-31 15:25 | Decibel FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 10-31 15:01 | Will Chris Godwin have 899.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.84 | $11.58 |
| 10-31 15:01 | Will Chris Godwin have 699.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.24 | $3.31 |
| 10-30 22:48 | Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.24 | $7.20 |
| 10-30 20:21 | TownSquare FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.43187 | $12.96 |
| 10-30 09:53 | Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027? | BUY | 0.43 | $12.90 |
| 10-30 05:56 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | BUY | 0.36 | $10.80 |
| 10-29 23:55 | Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.22 | $6.60 |