PolyBot

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Traders

Bertrame6868

0x00482ed30ead06a69be21d2ebd3aacc8869a5861

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$474.1k
Markets traded
741
Open portfolio
$457.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded741
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes0.1300.505$172.20+$127.87
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 13? · Yes0.3600.295$118.00−$26.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 13? · Yes0.1300.135$89.91+$3.33
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes0.0680.048$28.58−$11.85
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 12? · Yes0.2700.315$22.70+$3.24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12? · Yes0.4970.595$22.21+$3.65
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 13? · Yes0.3400.400$2.61+$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 13? · Yes0.0300.007$1.05−$3.16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 11? · Yes0.0120.001$0.06−$1.46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 11? · Yes0.2050.001$0.04−$17.20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 11? · Yes0.0910.001$0.02−$4.42
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 6? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on September 19? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$7.90
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$22.83
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20? · Yes0.4690.000$0.00−$45.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 07:02Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11?SELL0.998$76.80
10-11 06:01Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 11?SELL0.0052358871$0.21
10-11 05:47Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 11?BUY0.275$8.13
10-11 05:18Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?SELL0.0188699868$0.43
10-11 05:18Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?SELL0.018$0.31
10-11 05:18Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?SELL0.02$0.60
10-11 05:18Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 12?SELL0.3415988062$192.29
10-11 05:16Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 12?SELL0.12$5.18
10-11 05:15Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?SELL0.03$0.40
10-11 05:15Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?SELL0.03$0.30
10-11 05:15Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?SELL0.03$1.07
10-11 05:15Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?SELL0.5$53.12
10-11 05:14Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?SELL0.04$1.09
10-11 05:14Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?SELL0.03$1.56
10-11 05:14Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?SELL0.04$0.64