Bertrame6868
0x00482ed30ead06a69be21d2ebd3aacc8869a5861
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $474.1k
- Markets traded
- 741
- Open portfolio
- $457.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded741
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$722.33at 0.245Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 31?
- +$713.91at 0.054Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 1?
- +$597.13at 0.088Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?
- +$573.88at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 2?
- +$571.36at 0.178Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.998 | $76.80 |
| 10-11 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.0052358871 | $0.21 |
| 10-11 05:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.275 | $8.13 |
| 10-11 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.0188699868 | $0.43 |
| 10-11 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.31 |
| 10-11 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.60 |
| 10-11 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.3415988062 | $192.29 |
| 10-11 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.12 | $5.18 |
| 10-11 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.40 |
| 10-11 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.30 |
| 10-11 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.07 |
| 10-11 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.5 | $53.12 |
| 10-11 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.09 |
| 10-11 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.56 |
| 10-11 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.64 |