0xFcA82164a87B8BA38e887bD594483d29a23c5795-1783087528596
0xfca82164a87b8ba38e887bd594483d29a23c5795
- Realised P&L
- $-955.17
- Volume
- $162.6k
- Markets traded
- 979
- Open portfolio
- $71.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded979
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes | 0.461 | 0.290 | $31.45 | −$18.55 |
| Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.385 | $25.27 | +$10.27 |
| Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.214 | $14.68 | +$0.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.09at 0.402Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)
- +$80.42at 0.482Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins
- +$79.63at 0.429LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
- +$77.49at 0.990Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants
- +$67.52at 0.472LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 23:01 | Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $29.60 |
| 09-15 12:50 | Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999975 | $5.40 |
| 09-14 14:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.991 | $4.85 |
| 09-14 14:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.9899999796 | $4.85 |
| 09-09 13:12 | Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | BUY | 0.2285714286 | $15.00 |
| 09-08 05:22 | Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.01 |
| 09-08 05:22 | Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 05:22 | Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.02 |
| 09-08 05:14 | Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | BUY | 0.7119999525 | $2.28 |
| 09-08 05:14 | Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | BUY | 0.7131466817 | $12.72 |
| 09-08 04:10 | Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999981 | $15.00 |
| 08-08 12:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | SELL | 0.58 | $0.69 |
| 08-08 12:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 12:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | SELL | 0.16 | $0.57 |
| 08-08 12:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |