Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-07-01
Resolves by: https://tcdata.typhoon.org.cn/en/dlrdqx.html
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.211. down 0.078 over the period, from 0.289. Range 0.178 to 0.335. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.223	182	182
0.233	50	232
0.237	58	290
0.239	100	390
0.240	5,121	5,511
0.241	813	6,324
0.348	11	6,335
0.349	5	6,340
0.371	52	6,392
0.378	40	6,432
0.379	15	6,447
0.572	195	6,642

Spread0.024Mid0.211

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.199	236	236
0.190	80	316
0.189	50	366
0.090	39	405
0.089	20	425
0.072	18	443
0.071	30	473
0.070	777	1,250
0.020	500	1,750
0.010	20	1,770
0.005	20	1,790
0.004	25	1,815

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.801	236	236
0.810	80	316
0.811	50	366
0.910	39	405
0.911	20	425
0.928	18	443
0.929	30	473
0.930	777	1,250
0.980	500	1,750
0.990	20	1,770
0.995	20	1,790
0.996	25	1,815

Spread0.024Mid0.789

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.777	182	182
0.767	50	232
0.763	58	290
0.761	100	390
0.760	5,121	5,511
0.759	813	6,324
0.652	11	6,335
0.651	5	6,340
0.629	52	6,392
0.622	40	6,432
0.621	15	6,447
0.428	195	6,642

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
kupoz	Yes	3,369.44
michi1	Yes	1,631.49
Bertrame6868	Yes	802.31
dsfd3	Yes	620
LornaPredicts	Yes	383.79
0x3a9d…f332	Yes	110.04
InterestingUser	Yes	95.8
0xFcA82164a87B8BA38e887bD594483d29a23c5795-1783087528596	Yes	68.58
0x7969…9fec	Yes	47
citcap	Yes	44
donthackme	Yes	40
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	31.59
AJSV	Yes	25.32
0x90a0…d6fc	Yes	12.35
hesure	Yes	10
tryrktry	Yes	5
Anon321321	Yes	1.86
GingerMcKenna	Yes	1.84
Lucerys	Yes	1.81
0xa5ef…2966	No	3,531.69

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
05:28:54	BUY	Yes	0.224	5	$1.12
05:13:39	SELL	Yes	0.217	50	$10.85
03:23:41	BUY	Yes	0.226	5	$1.13
15:35:56	BUY	Yes	0.22	50	$11.00
15:23:18	BUY	Yes	0.2089229249	3,369	$703.95
14:00:05	SELL	Yes	0.224	50	$11.20
14:00:00	BUY	No	0.7784600227	343	$267.07
13:59:59	BUY	No	0.785	50	$39.25
04:50:42	BUY	Yes	0.195	50	$9.75
23:01:14	BUY	No	0.847	10	$8.47
23:01:12	BUY	No	0.849065	30	$25.47
23:01:12	BUY	No	0.852	19	$16.36
18:16:43	BUY	No	0.7006491228	14	$9.98
11:18:16	BUY	Yes	0.231	5	$1.16
03:11:24	BUY	Yes	0.191	5	$0.96
03:10:30	BUY	Yes	0.191	5	$0.96
03:10:21	BUY	Yes	0.191	5	$0.96
03:10:13	BUY	Yes	0.191	5	$0.96
03:10:04	BUY	Yes	0.191	5	$0.96
03:09:58	BUY	Yes	0.191	5	$0.96
03:09:51	BUY	Yes	0.191	5	$0.96
02:08:21	SELL	No	0.81	5	$4.05
01:27:07	SELL	No	0.809	5	$4.04
01:26:55	BUY	Yes	0.191	5	$0.96
01:26:46	BUY	Yes	0.191	5	$0.96