PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x79697d33ec1c567573ea006d89439468d5b09fec

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$400.6k
Markets traded
918
Open portfolio
$132.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded918
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes0.4000.385$18.09$0.70
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes0.4100.305$14.34$4.93
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes0.1420.292$13.75+$7.07
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? · Yes0.5900.870$10.53+$3.39
Will there be 4-5 Rampages at The International 2026? · Yes0.5201.000$9.79+$4.70
Will I Love Boosters win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1690.079$8.99$10.21
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? · Yes0.3800.475$8.93+$1.79
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.2300.079$8.57$16.54
Will Dylan Frazier reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · Yes0.4250.200$8.08$9.08
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? · No0.5300.525$7.04$0.07
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? · No0.3460.130$6.12$10.19
Will Marília Arraes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? · Yes0.3200.197$5.08$3.17
Will Necaxa finish 2nd in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? · Yes0.2000.037$2.73$12.01
Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? · Yes0.2300.435$2.21+$1.04
Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? · Yes0.2200.270$1.89+$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 14:24Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?BUY0.41$19.27
09-17 14:24Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?BUY0.4$18.80
09-17 14:24Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?BUY0.142$6.67
09-17 13:35Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Lions vs Bills game?SELL0.45$2.34
09-17 13:35Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?SELL0.72$7.20
09-17 13:35Will the Labour Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?SELL0.76$8.66
09-17 13:35Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?SELL0.78$12.25
09-17 13:35Will Branko Blanuša win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?SELL0.64$10.75
09-17 13:35Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?SELL0.66$17.29
09-17 13:35Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?SELL0.21$11.00
08-24 13:56Will Marília Arraes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?SELL0.578$11.03
08-24 13:56Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?SELL0.25$12.65
08-24 13:56Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?SELL0.0610025565$12.17
08-21 15:25Will SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?SELL0.74$6.51
08-21 15:25Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.24$10.34