0x79697d33ec1c567573ea006d89439468d5b09fec
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $400.6k
- Markets traded
- 918
- Open portfolio
- $132.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded918
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$275.96at 0.635Bitcoin Up or Down on April 4?
- +$197.90at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?
- +$128.04at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?
- +$105.39at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5?
- +$95.35at 0.046Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:24 | Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $19.27 |
| 09-17 14:24 | Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $18.80 |
| 09-17 14:24 | Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | BUY | 0.142 | $6.67 |
| 09-17 13:35 | Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Lions vs Bills game? | SELL | 0.45 | $2.34 |
| 09-17 13:35 | Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? | SELL | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 09-17 13:35 | Will the Labour Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | SELL | 0.76 | $8.66 |
| 09-17 13:35 | Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $12.25 |
| 09-17 13:35 | Will Branko Blanuša win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election? | SELL | 0.64 | $10.75 |
| 09-17 13:35 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $17.29 |
| 09-17 13:35 | Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $11.00 |
| 08-24 13:56 | Will Marília Arraes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? | SELL | 0.578 | $11.03 |
| 08-24 13:56 | Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $12.65 |
| 08-24 13:56 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná? | SELL | 0.0610025565 | $12.17 |
| 08-21 15:25 | Will SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? | SELL | 0.74 | $6.51 |
| 08-21 15:25 | Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $10.34 |