Lucerys
0x1387d145aaf01f6e33b66525dda6e1f51f6955f8
- Realised P&L
- $327.9k
- Volume
- $10.66M
- Markets traded
- 49,455
- Open portfolio
- $6.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded49,455
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$133.1kat 0.001Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$71.4kat 0.991Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$56.2kat 0.009Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$43.6kat 0.930Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$40.6kat 0.001Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.7023941739 | $30.86 |
| 11-01 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $43.81 |
| 11-01 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.899 | $39.50 |
| 11-01 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $43.90 |
| 11-01 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.988 | $43.41 |
| 11-01 22:53 | Will Atlético Mineiro win the 2026 Copa do Brasil? | BUY | 0.71 | $12.28 |
| 11-01 22:53 | Will Palmeiras win the 2026 Copa do Brasil? | BUY | 0.56 | $9.68 |
| 11-01 22:53 | Will Vasco da Gama win the 2026 Copa do Brasil? | BUY | 0.87 | $13.33 |
| 11-01 22:43 | Will Podemos win the most seats in Cantabria in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 11-01 22:43 | Will PSOE win the most seats in Cantabria in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.893 | $12.15 |
| 11-01 22:43 | Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Cantabria in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 11-01 22:43 | Will Vox win the most seats in Cantabria in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.997 | $49.85 |
| 11-01 22:42 | Will Angelo Bonelli, be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 22:42 | Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 11-01 22:42 | Will Carlo Calenda be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |