0x90a052795551c52047cc7e22a15221b7c424d6fc
0x90a052795551c52047cc7e22a15221b7c424d6fc
- Realised P&L
- $-0.57
- Volume
- $81.14
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $8.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · No | 0.370 | 0.715 | $4.56 | +$2.20 |
| Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.214 | $2.64 | +$1.64 |
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.280 | $1.59 | +$0.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.38at 0.009Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 12:50 | Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999842 | $1.08 |
| 09-14 12:11 | Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.36 |
| 09-08 05:14 | Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | BUY | 0.0809999935 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 11:50 | Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $3.00 |
| 08-31 16:09 | Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.00 |
| 08-31 15:54 | Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999376 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.36 |