Anon321321
0xe3479950ef6e8984df109ec5c9be40630f9fb438
- Realised P&L
- $78.4k
- Volume
- $4.59M
- Markets traded
- 38,549
- Open portfolio
- $619.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded38,549
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.194Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$1.8kat 0.013Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$1.4kat 0.190Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.061Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
- +$1.1kat 0.297Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:53 | Will Modena FC win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.9945 | $19.89 |
| 08-03 03:53 | Will Modena FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.059034 | $1.18 |
| 08-02 22:59 | Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.997 | $175.67 |
| 08-02 22:59 | Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.869 | $153.12 |
| 08-02 22:53 | Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.067 | $0.64 |
| 08-02 22:12 | Will Joel Brennan win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-02 22:09 | Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.17 |
| 08-02 20:58 | Will Stabilitātei! (ST!) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.05 |
| 08-02 19:00 | Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8? | BUY | 0.86 | $34.40 |
| 08-02 19:00 | Will "Charli xcx - Music, Fashion, Film" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8? | BUY | 0.9929685 | $39.72 |
| 08-02 18:45 | Will "All-Stars" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 08-02 18:45 | Will "Canada" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 08-02 18:45 | Will "Mexico" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 08-02 18:45 | Will "Worldwide" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026? | BUY | 0.389 | $7.78 |
| 08-02 18:21 | Will Greg Mueller Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | BUY | 0.89 | $178.00 |