PolyBot

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Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-10

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.018. up 0.002 over the period, from 0.016. Range 0.015 to 0.075. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.019539539
0.0204811,020
0.02161,026
0.0241,4302,456
0.0252002,656
0.0282152,872
0.029172,889
0.0364,4447,333
0.0375007,833
0.0384,50012,333
0.0393,00515,337
0.0405,50020,837

Spread0.001Mid0.018

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0181111
0.01710,66810,679
0.01611,31821,997
0.0151,16823,165
0.01410723,273
0.01314,10037,372
0.01211,91749,289
0.01188,021137,310
0.0101,005,6161,142,926
0.0093,2221,146,148
0.0083,5001,149,648
0.0077,8771,157,525

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9821111
0.98310,66810,679
0.98411,31821,997
0.9851,16823,165
0.98610723,273
0.98714,10037,372
0.98811,91749,289
0.98988,021137,310
0.9901,005,6161,142,926
0.9913,2221,146,148
0.9923,5001,149,648
0.9937,8771,157,525

Spread0.001Mid0.982

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.981539539
0.9804811,020
0.97961,026
0.9761,4302,456
0.9752002,656
0.9722152,872
0.971172,889
0.9644,4447,333
0.9635007,833
0.9624,50012,333
0.9613,00515,337
0.9605,50020,837

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
gunnar242Yes484,013.37
anoin123Yes212,227.77
Ed2357Yes197,257.12
Leon8899Yes59,049.74
881112Yes43,766.29
mounting7067Yes36,989.94
Harvey-DentYes35,000.01
0xD0737316E194380d9Dc0A39A5D2549fCaA0166d6-1760694398095Yes25,578.33
ChilynYes24,071.44
occasionalAwarenessYes13,031.08
LFG24Yes11,441.4
TwoEyesYes9,999.98
DARLAMARLAYes8,520.97
grinder1011Yes8,197.76
santashrek81Yes8,026.78
megadarkparticleYes6,500
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANYes5,805.24
MywheypatriotsYes5,600
0x3f1e1cD502C20F42683fE39D59Cf5D786aF4F362-1768176699117Yes5,000
vk7Yes4,320.91

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:10:21BUYNo0.98111$10.79
17:40:22BUYNo0.98365$357.31
17:10:21BUYNo0.98500$490.00
16:40:21BUYNo0.98500$490.00
16:10:21BUYNo0.97911$10.77
15:45:55BUYYes0.0225907472122$2.76
15:40:22BUYNo0.979500$489.50
15:10:21BUYNo0.979500$489.50
14:40:21BUYNo0.97811$10.76
14:10:21BUYNo0.97711$10.75
13:40:21BUYNo0.976208$203.33
13:36:54BUYNo0.9762,530$2469.58
13:13:51BUYYes0.025120$3.00
13:10:21BUYNo0.976500$488.00
12:40:21BUYNo0.976500$488.00
12:10:21BUYNo0.976500$488.00
12:08:39SELLYes0.0248$0.18
11:40:21BUYNo0.976500$488.00
11:10:22BUYNo0.976500$488.00
10:40:22BUYNo0.976500$488.00
10:10:21BUYNo0.976500$488.00
09:40:21BUYNo0.976500$488.00
09:39:30BUYYes0.025200$5.00
09:10:21BUYNo0.976500$488.00
08:40:22BUYNo0.975330$322.16