PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Leon8899

0x19344b25b205a60fa61fa99621f01a22df3c0a4b

Realised P&L
$-12.2k
Volume
$1.63M
Markets traded
125
Open portfolio
$13.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded125
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0810.043$11.8k$10.3k
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0800.023$1.3k$3.3k
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0690.068$112.43$1.89
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? · Yes0.0480.049$73.51+$0.79
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.085$42.50$12.50
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? · Yes0.0160.017$34.24+$1.52
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0610.004$11.39$187.50
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1600.145$10.15$1.05
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.0700.065$3.58$0.28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2500.095$0.47$0.78
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$5.98
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$27.00
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$260.00
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$593.09
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$3.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 02:05Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.049$3.45
07-17 02:04Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.049$4.75
07-05 02:57Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.051$1.27
07-02 09:34Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.056$3.08
06-23 13:53Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.064$0.39
06-17 15:00Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.068$20.40
06-17 14:57Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?SELL0.034$12.42
06-16 08:29Xi Jinping out by June 30?BUY0.004$5.44
06-16 01:42Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.004$0.26
06-16 01:36Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.067$12.06
06-16 00:46Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?BUY0.035$7.07
06-15 14:34Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.067$1.37
06-15 14:31Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.067$17.22
06-01 08:04Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?BUY0.032$4.76
06-01 07:34Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?SELL0.045$5.18