Chilyn
0xd33cd756d9e2a9190248d830d12b68dc7eb72ab5
- Realised P&L
- $12.8k
- Volume
- $334.9k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $421.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.018 | $421.25 | −$375.24 |
| Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election? · No | 0.143 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.00 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$808.64 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$449.51 |
| Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.86 |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$813.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.4kat 0.304Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$3.8kat 0.008Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$857.90at 0.235Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$16.45at 0.240Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.60at 0.100Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 03:31 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0210000003 | $2.19 |
| 09-04 03:31 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.021 | $173.42 |
| 09-04 03:28 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.019496701 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 18:00 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0446232059 | $20.93 |
| 07-14 19:03 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2309999714 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 22:00 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0529999999 | $449.51 |
| 07-10 21:41 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.049451358 | $500.00 |
| 07-09 21:44 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.398 | $2.2k |
| 07-02 15:17 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.024 | $813.27 |
| 07-02 15:16 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $875.00 |
| 06-28 16:04 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2299999999 | $1.3k |
| 06-28 01:40 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0201583144 | $1.3k |
| 06-22 01:36 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.015 | $1000.00 |
| 06-22 01:36 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.0k |
| 06-21 23:38 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.9825352277 | $16.6k |