TwoEyes
0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a
- Realised P&L
- $-58.8k
- Volume
- $18.11M
- Markets traded
- 627
- Open portfolio
- $41.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded627
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$161.4kat 0.971Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?
- +$116.0kat 0.104Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$53.0kat 0.572Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
- +$50.6kat 0.061Will the government shutdown end November 12?
- +$46.1kat 0.781Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:55 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $7.7k |
| 09-11 15:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.18 | $7.5k |
| 09-11 14:52 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.21 | $7.0k |
| 09-08 00:32 | Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.45 | $99.00 |
| 09-08 00:01 | Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.007 | $350.00 |
| 09-07 16:01 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.58 | $1.2k |
| 09-07 15:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.0k |
| 09-04 23:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $11.0k |
| 09-04 16:18 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.0k |
| 09-04 15:16 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $57.54 |
| 09-03 16:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $13.6k |
| 09-03 15:51 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $858.55 |
| 09-03 02:08 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.9k |
| 09-02 22:43 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $4.6k |
| 08-31 17:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $25.8k |