PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TwoEyes

0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a

Realised P&L
$-58.8k
Volume
$18.11M
Markets traded
627
Open portfolio
$41.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded627
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? · Yes0.7920.835$14.1k+$730.19
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2020.065$12.6k$26.9k
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0860.132$7.5k+$2.6k
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0390.040$2.7k+$17.18
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8700.994$2.0k+$248.01
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5800.445$890.00$270.00
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? · Yes0.8380.914$812.84+$67.93
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.2000.029$290.00$1.7k
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0070.004$225.00$124.97
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2610.212$212.50$48.50
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028? · Yes0.4500.340$74.80$24.20
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? · Yes0.3990.000$0.00$5.4k
Will Upbit be accused of insider trading? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$115.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$43.56
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$9.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 22:55Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.11$7.7k
09-11 15:04Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.18$7.5k
09-11 14:52Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.21$7.0k
09-08 00:32Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028?BUY0.45$99.00
09-08 00:01Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.007$350.00
09-07 16:01Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.58$1.2k
09-07 15:31Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$10.0k
09-04 23:07Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.51$11.0k
09-04 16:18Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.14$7.0k
09-04 15:16Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.006$57.54
09-03 16:33Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.14$13.6k
09-03 15:51Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.17$858.55
09-03 02:08Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.15$1.9k
09-02 22:43Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.15$4.6k
08-31 17:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4$25.8k