PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

TwoEyes

0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a

Realised P&L
$226.3k
Volume
$16.50M
Markets traded
619
Open portfolio
$77.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded619
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5830.565$36.7k$1.2k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2380.205$26.2k$4.2k
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0860.093$12.3k+$998.59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0390.041$2.8k+$86.71
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? · Yes0.8370.906$658.45+$50.42
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.2000.025$254.00$1.7k
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2610.213$213.50$47.50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0400.011$21.02$52.08
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? · Yes0.3990.000$0.00$5.4k
Will Upbit be accused of insider trading? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$115.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$43.56
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$9.5k
Flames vs. Blues · Flames0.4300.000$0.00$774.00
Up Only podcast released by November 30? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$10.9k
Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? · Yes0.6940.000$0.00$1.7k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 20:09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.53$13.3k
07-29 18:49Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6$2.5k
07-29 18:45Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6$330.96
07-29 18:41Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6539316002$2.4k
07-29 18:33Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.64$1.8k
07-29 17:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.757$20.8k
07-28 18:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.793$1.6k
07-27 15:47Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.04$73.10
07-27 15:37Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.722$6.2k
07-24 17:45Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7409881572$37.8k
07-23 21:25Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?BUY0.8370814748$608.02
07-23 21:13Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.261$261.00
07-23 21:08Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.956$1.6k
07-17 19:03Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.46$4.6k
07-17 18:59Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0395422514$2.2k