Harvey-Dent
0x327c3e4c72957048dfb6d728bd40a9d4721f86ef
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $117.5k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $612.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.018 | $612.50 | −$2.2k |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? · No | 0.138 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$345.05 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? · No | 0.198 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$118.71 |
| Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes | 0.729 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$364.15 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$183.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$488.56at 0.300US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$270.79at 0.120Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
- +$243.84at 0.355Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
- +$200.00at 0.689No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$96.92at 0.763S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $25.71 |
| 09-15 21:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $42.53 |
| 08-28 22:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.49 | $189.47 |
| 08-23 13:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6999999995 | $150.00 |
| 08-23 13:51 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.038 | $76.00 |
| 06-06 16:21 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.066 | $6.60 |
| 06-06 16:20 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.066 | $48.18 |
| 06-06 16:17 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.066 | $77.22 |
| 05-15 21:35 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.064 | $80.00 |
| 05-12 18:57 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.069 | $13.90 |
| 05-12 16:28 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $50.19 |
| 05-12 02:44 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.46 |
| 05-09 21:41 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.062 | $11.37 |
| 05-09 21:29 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.062986305 | $125.97 |
| 05-08 12:08 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $101.54 |