santashrek81
0x3fbcb41f816d84572fdf811806542c6f9cb730a4
- Realised P&L
- $-282.03
- Volume
- $846.6k
- Markets traded
- 184
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded184
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.065 | $390.00 | −$389.99 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $300.00 | −$649.82 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.055 | $165.09 | −$211.87 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.018 | $140.47 | −$332.15 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.026 | $132.50 | −$417.49 |
| Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.205 | $82.00 | −$54.00 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.015 | $72.50 | −$452.50 |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.004 | $5.29 | −$15.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.112Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.8kat 0.070US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$444.00at 0.463US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$420.64at 0.309Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
- +$405.00at 0.190Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 10:42 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $200.00 |
| 08-21 07:57 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.023 | $46.60 |
| 08-16 17:56 | KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz | SELL | 0.6 | $41.50 |
| 08-16 00:00 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0111111111 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 11:54 | Will Solana reach $90 in August? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 12:28 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $878.62 |
| 07-16 22:34 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.043 | $19.35 |
| 07-16 03:03 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.044 | $1.81 |
| 07-06 07:03 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.063 | $23.60 |
| 07-05 03:58 | KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz | SELL | 0.5004194782 | $52.36 |
| 07-03 09:39 | Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 England? | BUY | 0.03 | $19.58 |
| 06-29 07:27 | Will Brazil score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.04 | $7.72 |
| 06-29 07:22 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.011 | $110.00 |
| 06-22 01:17 | Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.38 | $8.84 |
| 06-20 18:29 | Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $13.51 |