santashrek81
0x3fbcb41f816d84572fdf811806542c6f9cb730a4
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $724.2k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.155 | $1.1k | +$175.00 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.006 | $585.00 | −$104.94 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.115 | $574.99 | +$25.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.115 | $345.19 | −$31.78 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.483 | 0.285 | $199.43 | −$138.57 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.025 | $177.82 | −$299.13 |
| KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz · Lotte Giants | 0.390 | 0.693 | $128.43 | +$56.14 |
| Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.100 | $40.00 | −$96.00 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.227 | 0.175 | $22.95 | −$6.77 |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.038 | $15.40 | +$1.00 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.018 | $8.10 | −$11.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.112Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.8kat 0.070US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$444.00at 0.463US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$433.40at 0.300Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
- +$405.00at 0.190Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 12:28 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $878.62 |
| 07-16 22:34 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.043 | $19.35 |
| 07-16 03:03 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.044 | $1.81 |
| 07-06 07:03 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.063 | $23.60 |
| 07-05 03:58 | KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz | SELL | 0.5004194782 | $52.36 |
| 07-03 09:39 | Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 England? | BUY | 0.03 | $19.58 |
| 06-29 07:27 | Will Brazil score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.04 | $7.72 |
| 06-29 07:22 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.011 | $110.00 |
| 06-22 01:17 | Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.38 | $8.84 |
| 06-20 18:29 | Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $13.51 |
| 06-20 11:23 | Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $4.69 |
| 06-19 00:57 | Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.36 | $108.00 |
| 06-16 03:31 | Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.45 |
| 06-16 02:33 | Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.5374413063 | $12.18 |
| 06-16 02:30 | Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.4080204615 | $53.04 |