PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DARLAMARLA

0xc2099da50414940eb127d88db78b223b01d63de3

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$390.7k
Markets traded
2,251
Open portfolio
$417.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,251
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0240.021$183.20$22.17
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5000.893$26.38+$11.61
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0020.032$15.41+$14.43
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0420.505$13.12+$12.04
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0420.490$12.25+$11.21
Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0010.002$11.85+$3.95
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0010.002$11.24+$3.75
Will Joe Ryan strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? · No0.9981.000$9.99+$0.01
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · No0.9920.999$9.99+$0.07
Will Logan Gilbert strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? · No0.9970.999$9.98+$0.01
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · No0.9800.995$9.95+$0.15
Will Logan Webb strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? · No0.9700.984$9.84+$0.14
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0020.004$7.39+$4.11
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.1430.425$6.38+$4.23
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0020.004$5.79+$3.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 20:26Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?SELL0.001$0.03
07-12 20:11Will no listed leader be out before 2027?BUY0.001$2.79
07-03 09:27Will no listed leader be out before 2027?SELL0.004$14.40
07-03 09:24Will no listed leader be out before 2027?SELL0.004$13.94
07-01 00:12Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C or below on July 1?BUY0.999$9.99
07-01 00:12Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?BUY0.49$0.32
07-01 00:12Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on July 1?BUY0.998$9.98
06-30 23:58Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 1?BUY0.7$7.00
06-30 23:58Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on July 1?BUY0.998$9.98
06-30 23:58Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 1?BUY0.99$9.90
06-30 23:52Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?BUY0.999$9.99
06-30 23:52Will LeBron James play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?BUY0.999$9.99
06-30 23:52Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?BUY0.999$9.99
06-30 23:52Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?BUY0.999$9.99
06-30 23:52Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?BUY0.999$9.99