0xD0737316E194380d9Dc0A39A5D2549fCaA0166d6-1760694398095
0xd0737316e194380d9dc0a39a5d2549fcaa0166d6
- Realised P&L
- $-22.5k
- Volume
- $194.4k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $447.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.018 | $447.62 | −$5.0k |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.0k |
| Solana all time high before 2026? · Yes | 0.302 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.1k |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.304 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.776 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$639.00 |
| Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31? · No | 0.535 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.5k |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · No | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? · No | 0.196 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.9kat 0.338Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
- +$4.4kat 0.671US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.710Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
- +$1.2kat 0.631Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?
- +$597.71at 0.870US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 06:30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7761614624 | $639.00 |
| 05-25 13:08 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6721259105 | $4.0k |
| 05-25 13:06 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3045872111 | $2.0k |
| 05-25 13:03 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $5.0k |
| 04-05 03:47 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.8299999998 | $1.6k |
| 03-25 13:52 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.8699999998 | $4.0k |
| 03-13 12:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | BUY | 0.71 | $5.0k |
| 01-24 05:48 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | BUY | 0.1164808871 | $1.5k |
| 01-24 05:48 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January? | BUY | 0.4408068948 | $1.5k |
| 01-23 13:22 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | BUY | 0.042859096 | $100.00 |
| 01-23 13:20 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January? | BUY | 0.2500743407 | $1000.00 |
| 10-29 10:49 | Solana all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.2699454709 | $1000.00 |
| 10-29 10:48 | Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31? | BUY | 0.5962971649 | $1000.00 |
| 10-29 04:30 | Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31? | BUY | 0.5944534098 | $1000.00 |
| 10-28 09:03 | Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31? | BUY | 0.4943669359 | $1000.00 |