Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?

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Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-30
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.050. down 0.007 over the period, from 0.057. Range 0.037 to 0.057. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.060	29	29
0.061	66	95
0.064	135	230
0.065	43	273
0.066	13	285
0.117	125	410
0.118	494	905
0.145	50	955
0.149	430	1,385
0.151	100	1,485
0.152	304	1,788
0.188	150	1,938

Spread0.021Mid0.050

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.039	40	40
0.038	30	70
0.036	35	105
0.035	9,811	9,916
0.030	313	10,229
0.021	650	10,879
0.017	5	10,884
0.016	700	11,584
0.015	700	12,284
0.014	486	12,770
0.013	1,450	14,220
0.012	1,667	15,887

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.961	40	40
0.962	30	70
0.964	35	105
0.965	9,811	9,916
0.970	313	10,229
0.979	650	10,879
0.983	5	10,884
0.984	700	11,584
0.985	700	12,284
0.986	486	12,770
0.987	1,450	14,220
0.988	1,667	15,887

Spread0.021Mid0.950

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.940	29	29
0.939	66	95
0.936	135	230
0.935	43	273
0.934	13	285
0.883	125	410
0.882	494	905
0.855	50	955
0.851	430	1,385
0.849	100	1,485
0.848	304	1,788
0.812	150	1,938

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
OnYesYes	Yes	1,482.63
laffett	Yes	520.57
planktonXD	Yes	494.12
molodoyy	Yes	404.75
fiter	Yes	349.99
LornaPredicts	Yes	311.9
xc78622a49b7f38b356453b35c649c20b859bd82e	Yes	221.84
rocky42024	Yes	144
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	135
VoidOfTheNight	Yes	72.73
0x5533…51ba	Yes	66
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	58.51
dgfd76	Yes	49.12
AJSV	Yes	45.66
yiminglu	Yes	42.4
leisiyu	Yes	29.99
romanew-crypto	Yes	28.58
79fsdfs	Yes	27.16
0x64D87B5F9326A1b0e8cDebE73d169f16bA2659a3-1761899875050	Yes	25.38
mustbethewater	Yes	23.47

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:44:10	BUY	Yes	0.0471721074	42	$2.00
03:17:30	BUY	No	0.9609582806	387	$371.77
18:22:55	BUY	No	0.959	10	$9.59
13:59:06	BUY	No	0.959	14	$13.33
13:58:48	BUY	No	0.959	10	$9.59
13:58:48	BUY	No	0.9583952381	13	$12.08
13:58:48	BUY	No	0.9589999988	24	$23.21
13:58:46	BUY	No	0.959	24	$23.21
11:02:54	BUY	No	0.959	49	$47.37
11:02:54	BUY	No	0.959	39	$37.11
11:02:54	BUY	No	0.959	6	$5.75
11:02:54	BUY	No	0.9580482051	80	$76.60
11:02:54	BUY	No	0.959	20	$19.64
11:02:54	BUY	No	0.9572075	40	$38.29
11:02:37	BUY	No	0.957	10	$9.57
02:29:57	BUY	Yes	0.041	155	$6.36
02:28:10	BUY	Yes	0.04	142	$5.70
00:55:36	BUY	No	0.964	222	$213.85
10:19:33	BUY	No	0.9649999999	177	$170.81
10:19:30	BUY	No	0.965	6	$5.50
10:19:30	BUY	No	0.965	5	$4.83
10:19:29	BUY	No	0.965	138	$133.17
10:19:27	BUY	No	0.965	138	$133.17
10:19:27	BUY	No	0.965	40	$38.60
10:19:27	BUY	No	0.965	8	$7.72