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Traders

AbsoluteQuagmire

0x9870a52d259f6b5d270acdf3408225f9ff3774fd

Realised P&L
$517.50
Volume
$7.5k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$151.49

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6400.680$67.99+$4.00
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes0.4650.305$61.00$32.00
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes0.2800.225$22.50$5.50
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$7.50
Will Rafael Leao join Aston Villa? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00$26.87
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$20.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 13:42Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.840119494$168.03
09-23 14:30Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.398$111.44
09-22 02:46Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.64$3.26
09-22 02:27Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.64$19.20
09-22 02:19Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.64$41.53
09-01 04:27Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?SELL0.087$0.56
08-30 15:21Will Jack Grealish stay at Manchester City?SELL0.082$0.10
08-30 10:39Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?SELL0.155$7.75
08-28 15:17Will Rafael Leao join Aston Villa?BUY0.0063115792$0.46
08-28 14:57Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?BUY0.0281019056$2.76
08-28 07:35Will Rafael Leao join Aston Villa?BUY0.19$4.75
08-28 07:09Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?BUY0.055$1.10
08-28 07:01Will Rafael Leao join Aston Villa?BUY0.17$3.40
08-28 06:42Will Rafael Leao join Aston Villa?BUY0.19$7.60
08-28 06:42Will Rafael Leao join Aston Villa?BUY0.18$7.20
Trader AbsoluteQuagmire · PolyBot Pro