0xe4a99E151fEaeBf42456a4d39BbEBf6a89727d91-1761092319141
0x2532cf63674056c489d9c3eb78f3004b842362ea
- Realised P&L
- $-13.51
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $19.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.007 | $5.04 | +$2.04 |
| Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.003 | $3.83 | −$7.17 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $3.25 | −$7.75 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.053 | $2.59 | −$0.41 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.005 | $1.58 | −$4.42 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.024 | $1.32 | −$0.68 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.002 | $1.20 | −$1.80 |
| Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.005 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.94at 0.066Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?
- +$6.50at 0.030Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?
- +$-1.04at 0.125Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-28.90at 0.288Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 21:53 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? | BUY | 0.0169999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 09:32 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0042372702 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 09:24 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0030304063 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 14:37 | Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0085769178 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 11:30 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0049456799 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 09:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.388 | $12.61 |
| 09-21 09:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | SELL | 0.224 | $8.00 |
| 09-20 14:55 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 14:49 | Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 14:41 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 14:40 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 14:39 | Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 14:37 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.0269999993 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 14:46 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.0519999979 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 00:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |