Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
- Tick
- 0.001
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-12-31
- Resolves by
- https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/lists-maps-and-statistics
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.069 | 61 | 61 |
| 0.072 | 40 | 101 |
| 0.082 | 80 | 181 |
| 0.087 | 20 | 201 |
| 0.589 | 100 | 301 |
| 0.590 | 483 | 784 |
| 0.938 | 5 | 789 |
| 0.940 | 5 | 794 |
| 0.996 | 399 | 1,193 |
| 0.997 | 667 | 1,860 |
| 0.998 | 1,000 | 2,860 |
| 0.999 | 2,115 | 4,975 |
Spread0.029Mid0.055
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.040 | 40 | 40 |
| 0.039 | 20 | 60 |
| 0.038 | 40 | 100 |
| 0.037 | 20 | 120 |
| 0.027 | 26 | 146 |
| 0.025 | 21 | 167 |
| 0.022 | 20 | 187 |
| 0.017 | 22 | 209 |
| 0.016 | 38 | 248 |
| 0.015 | 60 | 308 |
| 0.014 | 80 | 388 |
| 0.013 | 193 | 580 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.960 | 40 | 40 |
| 0.961 | 20 | 60 |
| 0.962 | 40 | 100 |
| 0.963 | 20 | 120 |
| 0.973 | 26 | 146 |
| 0.975 | 21 | 167 |
| 0.978 | 20 | 187 |
| 0.983 | 22 | 209 |
| 0.984 | 38 | 248 |
| 0.985 | 60 | 308 |
| 0.986 | 80 | 388 |
| 0.987 | 193 | 580 |
Spread0.029Mid0.946
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.931 | 61 | 61 |
| 0.928 | 40 | 101 |
| 0.918 | 80 | 181 |
| 0.913 | 20 | 201 |
| 0.411 | 100 | 301 |
| 0.410 | 483 | 784 |
| 0.062 | 5 | 789 |
| 0.060 | 5 | 794 |
| 0.004 | 399 | 1,193 |
| 0.003 | 667 | 1,860 |
| 0.002 | 1,000 | 2,860 |
| 0.001 | 2,115 | 4,975 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CryptoAddict | Yes | 425.99 |
| ahhuat8 | Yes | 396.89 |
| makanmakan | Yes | 150.11 |
| commanderkim | Yes | 150 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 89.38 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 50 |
| Tkto | Yes | 45.57 |
| mehanizator | Yes | 42 |
| splogdes | Yes | 34.82 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 30 |
| RONALDOASET | Yes | 29.58 |
| PPMT | Yes | 26.59 |
| woeva | Yes | 21.89 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21.01 |
| 0xA242B3526Eb60275AA1C7F832a08ad36645094c2-1773224949313 | Yes | 16.95 |
| Pinkunicorntoes | Yes | 14.93 |
| 0xe4668E1e7C85c5D8d5d6295E94c021FEA69d9531-1763389637925 | Yes | 10 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 10 |
| 0xzipper | No | 719.2 |
| 0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836 | No | 555.94 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:50:46 | BUY | Yes | 0.053 | 24 | $1.27 |
| 21:57:15 | BUY | Yes | 0.054 | 26 | $1.41 |
| 00:46:14 | BUY | Yes | 0.0669999961 | 15 | $1.00 |
| 05:34:42 | SELL | No | 0.932 | 3 | $3.12 |
| 14:04:17 | SELL | Yes | 0.036 | 20 | $0.72 |
| 14:04:16 | SELL | Yes | 0.036 | 30 | $1.08 |
| 14:04:01 | BUY | No | 0.963 | 10 | $9.63 |
| 14:04:01 | BUY | No | 0.963 | 20 | $19.26 |
| 14:03:59 | BUY | No | 0.963 | 10 | $9.63 |
| 14:03:59 | SELL | Yes | 0.037 | 50 | $1.85 |
| 07:32:06 | SELL | Yes | 0.031 | 1 | $0.03 |
| 06:17:58 | SELL | Yes | 0.0200060998 | 134 | $2.69 |
| 02:30:37 | BUY | Yes | 0.07 | 97 | $6.78 |
| 20:36:13 | SELL | No | 0.93 | 5 | $4.74 |
| 12:28:06 | SELL | Yes | 0.022 | 9 | $0.20 |
| 12:27:42 | SELL | Yes | 0.042 | 9 | $0.38 |
| 12:27:30 | SELL | Yes | 0.042 | 9 | $0.38 |
| 12:27:16 | SELL | Yes | 0.04975 | 40 | $1.99 |
| 07:05:34 | SELL | Yes | 0.062 | 10 | $0.62 |
| 07:05:18 | SELL | Yes | 0.075 | 10 | $0.75 |
| 07:05:03 | SELL | Yes | 0.085 | 10 | $0.85 |
| 07:04:49 | SELL | Yes | 0.085 | 10 | $0.85 |
| 07:04:25 | SELL | Yes | 0.086 | 30 | $2.58 |
| 07:04:18 | SELL | Yes | 0.090992607 | 257 | $23.39 |
| 02:00:13 | SELL | Yes | 0.095 | 5 | $0.47 |