Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.046. down 0.050 over the period, from 0.096. Range 0.036 to 0.368. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.068	30	30
0.069	21	51
0.094	50	101
0.095	500	601
0.738	27	628
0.739	31	658
0.740	10	668
0.885	20	688
0.964	34	722
0.967	1,000	1,722
0.974	2,500	4,222
0.980	3,000	7,222

Spread0.043Mid0.046

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.025	21	21
0.016	38	59
0.015	60	119
0.014	195	314
0.013	193	507
0.010	150	657
0.006	949	1,606
0.005	300	1,906
0.003	605	2,511
0.002	100	2,611
0.001	4,615	7,226

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.975	21	21
0.984	38	59
0.985	60	119
0.986	195	314
0.987	193	507
0.990	150	657
0.994	949	1,606
0.995	300	1,906
0.997	605	2,511
0.998	100	2,611
0.999	4,615	7,226

Spread0.043Mid0.954

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.932	30	30
0.931	21	51
0.906	50	101
0.905	500	601
0.262	27	628
0.261	31	658
0.260	10	668
0.115	20	688
0.036	34	722
0.033	1,000	1,722
0.026	2,500	4,222
0.020	3,000	7,222

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
CryptoAddict	Yes	425.99
ahhuat8	Yes	396.89
makanmakan	Yes	150.11
commanderkim	Yes	150
AJSV	Yes	53.32
LornaPredicts	Yes	50
VonVonagh	Yes	50
Tkto	Yes	45.57
mehanizator	Yes	42
splogdes	Yes	34.82
.Menthe	Yes	30
PPMT	Yes	29.94
RONALDOASET	Yes	29.58
woeva	Yes	21.89
Numitus1994	Yes	21.01
0xA242B3526Eb60275AA1C7F832a08ad36645094c2-1773224949313	Yes	16.95
0xe4668E1e7C85c5D8d5d6295E94c021FEA69d9531-1763389637925	Yes	10
Mojito9	Yes	10
0xzipper	No	719.2
0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836	No	555.94

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
06:17:58	SELL	Yes	0.0200060998	134	$2.69
02:30:37	BUY	Yes	0.07	97	$6.78
20:36:13	SELL	No	0.93	5	$4.74
12:28:06	SELL	Yes	0.022	9	$0.20
12:27:42	SELL	Yes	0.042	9	$0.38
12:27:30	SELL	Yes	0.042	9	$0.38
12:27:16	SELL	Yes	0.04975	40	$1.99
07:05:34	SELL	Yes	0.062	10	$0.62
07:05:18	SELL	Yes	0.075	10	$0.75
07:05:03	SELL	Yes	0.085	10	$0.85
07:04:49	SELL	Yes	0.085	10	$0.85
07:04:25	SELL	Yes	0.086	30	$2.58
07:04:18	SELL	Yes	0.090992607	257	$23.39
02:00:13	SELL	Yes	0.095	5	$0.47
14:07:39	SELL	No	0.905	40	$36.20
14:07:24	SELL	No	0.90525	40	$36.21
14:07:19	SELL	No	0.906	20	$18.12
14:07:12	SELL	No	0.90675	40	$36.27
14:03:52	SELL	No	0.9364461258	506	$473.40
13:59:01	BUY	No	0.91	149	$135.59
13:58:54	SELL	Yes	0.09	1	$0.09
13:58:52	SELL	Yes	0.091	10	$0.91
13:58:51	SELL	Yes	0.1	9	$0.90
13:58:48	BUY	No	0.89	70	$62.30
16:15:58	SELL	No	0.877	7	$6.17