0xA242B3526Eb60275AA1C7F832a08ad36645094c2-1773224949313
0xa242b3526eb60275aa1c7f832a08ad36645094c2
- Realised P&L
- $-46.95
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $2.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.24at 0.174Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.98at 0.265Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?
- +$9.88at 0.243Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
- +$5.83at 0.349Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
- +$5.19at 0.170Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 17:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 17:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 17:51 | Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 09:25 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 19:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 19:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 18:54 | Will there be 7+ hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | BUY | 0.1955554121 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 18:54 | Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 11:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 18:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 18:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 18:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 13:40 | Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026? | BUY | 0.0589999464 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 13:33 | Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 19:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.0272638492 | $1.00 |