0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836
0x7f15f350261a0dfa8bff802df364e33773d552f1
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $191.0k
- Markets traded
- 561
- Open portfolio
- $7.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded561
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$551.76at 0.092Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
- +$373.91at 0.280Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$273.29at 0.225Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$269.82at 0.793Will Portugal be the highest-scoring team in Group K during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$196.55at 0.880World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 12:45 | Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.96 | $294.72 |
| 09-22 12:44 | Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.87 | $122.84 |
| 09-21 15:50 | Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below? | BUY | 0.73 | $219.00 |
| 09-21 10:54 | Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30? | BUY | 0.63 | $51.66 |
| 09-20 23:29 | Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.915 | $18.30 |
| 09-20 23:29 | Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9 | $27.00 |
| 09-20 23:29 | Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.8996507973 | $77.29 |
| 09-20 23:29 | Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.899 | $26.96 |
| 09-20 22:41 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.95 | $232.81 |
| 09-20 17:06 | Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.34 |
| 09-20 16:46 | Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.63 | $36.25 |
| 09-20 16:18 | Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.8567518797 | $22.79 |
| 09-19 12:33 | Will MrBeast hit 519 million subscribers by September 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $40.20 |
| 09-19 12:28 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.35 | $26.60 |
| 09-18 19:27 | Will Arsenal reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? | BUY | 0.93 | $156.24 |