PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CryptoAddict

0x98dc1e43f725102ab5071414ba66ffe433bb9949

Realised P&L
$-14.8k
Volume
$999.2k
Markets traded
261
Open portfolio
$511.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded261
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.0900.305$152.50+$107.50
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.036$45.63−$54.38
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? · Yes0.0500.036$36.00−$14.00
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1000.034$33.94−$65.89
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0680.041$29.97−$20.13
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1400.075$27.75−$24.05
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0130.012$27.60−$2.30
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1580.043$27.38−$73.53
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1100.055$25.30−$25.30
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026? · Yes0.1020.054$23.22−$20.15
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2150.028$19.88−$132.72
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0430.032$19.20−$6.60
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026? · Yes0.4110.120$15.29−$37.04
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026? · Yes0.1100.075$14.25−$6.65
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? · Yes0.1370.034$12.19−$37.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 09:51Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.007$20.00
09-30 13:28NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.23$8.28
09-30 13:28NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.24$95.76
09-30 13:27Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?SELL0.68$129.20
09-30 13:26Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.65$107.58
09-30 13:25Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.66$65.66
09-24 13:33Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.09$45.00
09-24 13:30Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.38$100.70
09-24 13:28Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.013$29.90
09-13 18:18Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?BUY0.24$200.40
09-13 18:08Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.22$462.00
09-11 13:31Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0178181818$19.60
09-11 13:29Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?SELL0.28$1.37
09-11 13:29Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?SELL0.29$65.21
08-28 16:54Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.48$1.0k