0xzipper
0xe39783f92ee0985f1ab5fe514030f946825abfcb
- Realised P&L
- $35.9k
- Volume
- $2.32M
- Markets traded
- 2,488
- Open portfolio
- $12.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,488
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.050Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?
- +$4.3kat 0.752Will Leavitt say "President" 55+ times during the next White House press briefing?
- +$3.5kat 0.628Will crypto payment cards volume hit $1.5B by March 31?
- +$2.6kat 0.220 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
- +$2.3kat 0.264Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:02 | Will more than 600,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? | BUY | 0.2724227741 | $22.49 |
| 09-17 06:00 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | SELL | 0.200941659 | $71.78 |
| 09-16 18:02 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.9985 | $99.85 |
| 09-16 18:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 09-16 10:20 | Will more than 600,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? | BUY | 0.3125823906 | $25.42 |
| 09-16 05:06 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | SELL | 0.171732122 | $33.84 |
| 09-15 18:20 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | SELL | 0.1897489744 | $14.80 |
| 09-15 17:28 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | SELL | 0.2302173318 | $116.01 |
| 09-15 16:49 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.2937432209 | $131.51 |
| 09-15 16:47 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.246485705 | $492.97 |
| 09-15 16:46 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.3 | $171.72 |
| 09-15 16:46 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.22882985 | $228.83 |
| 09-15 06:45 | Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.61 | $27.42 |
| 09-15 06:44 | Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.66 | $39.60 |
| 09-15 05:26 | Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.4683333333 | $112.40 |