PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xzipper

0xe39783f92ee0985f1ab5fe514030f946825abfcb

Realised P&L
$35.9k
Volume
$2.32M
Markets traded
2,488
Open portfolio
$12.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,488
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ramzan Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections? · Yes0.7130.980$1.0k+$275.10
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? · No0.6450.660$762.30+$17.63
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? · Yes0.2550.281$689.03+$64.55
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026? · No0.8140.939$675.33+$89.96
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.5070.630$521.43+$101.56
Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? · No0.6770.999$521.12+$168.17
Will Slay the Spire 2 win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.6310.985$509.32+$182.96
Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election? · No0.3270.375$452.17+$57.60
Will Václav Trojan be the next Mayor of Brno? · Yes0.1460.360$434.33+$257.72
Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague? · No0.4290.650$403.45+$137.27
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.5100.390$390.00$120.00
Will ISM Services PMI be below 51.0 in September? · No0.8920.995$344.46+$35.30
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? · No0.4350.505$339.83+$46.95
Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election? · No0.5060.540$320.93+$20.07
Will Otzma win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.8130.845$288.14+$10.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:02Will more than 600,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?BUY0.2724227741$22.49
09-17 06:00Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?SELL0.200941659$71.78
09-16 18:02Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?BUY0.9985$99.85
09-16 18:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$999.00
09-16 10:20Will more than 600,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?BUY0.3125823906$25.42
09-16 05:06Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?SELL0.171732122$33.84
09-15 18:20Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?SELL0.1897489744$14.80
09-15 17:28Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?SELL0.2302173318$116.01
09-15 16:49Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?BUY0.2937432209$131.51
09-15 16:47Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?BUY0.246485705$492.97
09-15 16:46Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?BUY0.3$171.72
09-15 16:46Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?BUY0.22882985$228.83
09-15 06:45Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?SELL0.61$27.42
09-15 06:44Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?SELL0.66$39.60
09-15 05:26Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.4683333333$112.40