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Traders

splogdes

0x29dfc554c39e7a64dbf9eaf9e21903124c089340

Realised P&L
$-104.57
Volume
$11.7k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$61.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · No0.6900.780$22.18+$2.56
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.6690.755$10.85+$1.24
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.7400.827$10.74+$1.13
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.6700.368$5.63−$4.60
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.1050.128$5.41+$0.93
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.1490.181$3.07+$0.54
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026? · Yes0.2830.052$1.81−$8.03
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.1200.055$1.74−$2.06
Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.1300.006$0.14−$2.56
Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.1000.001$0.01−$2.79
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.6100.001$0.01−$10.21
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$8.37
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.6030.000$0.00−$12.23
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance · Portugal0.3800.000$0.00−$10.00
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway0.3440.000$0.00−$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 05:43Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.0959999972$1.09
10-10 04:33Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.148999998$2.53
10-10 02:22Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.1$1.03
10-09 21:18Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.108999998$3.39
10-09 21:11Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.7399999877$9.61
10-09 21:11Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.6689999987$9.61
10-09 20:38Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.35$4.90
10-09 19:43Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.1$2.80
10-09 19:13Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.1299999958$2.77
10-09 18:45Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.6099999899$10.22
10-09 18:45Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.73$10.22
10-09 18:38Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.6699999876$10.23
10-09 18:13Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.1299999986$2.70
10-08 08:12Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.68$9.36
10-06 18:52Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.6299999891$8.67