splogdes
0x29dfc554c39e7a64dbf9eaf9e21903124c089340
- Realised P&L
- $-104.57
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $61.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.88at 0.151Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
- +$21.50at 0.542Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?
- +$18.51at 0.342Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?
- +$13.70at 0.464Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
- +$12.91at 0.661Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 05:43 | Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.0959999972 | $1.09 |
| 10-10 04:33 | Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.148999998 | $2.53 |
| 10-10 02:22 | Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.03 |
| 10-09 21:18 | Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.108999998 | $3.39 |
| 10-09 21:11 | Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.7399999877 | $9.61 |
| 10-09 21:11 | Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.6689999987 | $9.61 |
| 10-09 20:38 | Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.35 | $4.90 |
| 10-09 19:43 | Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.80 |
| 10-09 19:13 | Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.1299999958 | $2.77 |
| 10-09 18:45 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.6099999899 | $10.22 |
| 10-09 18:45 | Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.73 | $10.22 |
| 10-09 18:38 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.6699999876 | $10.23 |
| 10-09 18:13 | Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.1299999986 | $2.70 |
| 10-08 08:12 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.68 | $9.36 |
| 10-06 18:52 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.6299999891 | $8.67 |