PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

commanderkim

0x472977845c1861bd08e44f338bd33220a1a80b39

Realised P&L
$270.43
Volume
$17.3k
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$423.97

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1790.225$112.50+$23.05
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? · Yes0.2360.130$65.00−$53.00
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes0.5090.540$64.80+$3.70
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below? · No0.2860.235$35.25−$7.72
Modi out by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1800.105$31.73−$22.67
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1600.175$26.25+$2.25
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.1670.085$21.25−$20.42
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2750.125$18.76−$22.58
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.2420.107$11.11−$14.01
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4720.421$8.85−$1.06
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.1430.040$8.80−$22.60
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.210$8.40−$6.80
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026? · Yes0.0900.050$7.42−$6.08
Will Italy win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? · Yes0.0190.018$1.80−$0.10
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0240.040$1.32+$0.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 06:36Modi out by June 30, 2027?BUY0.18$4.21
10-05 01:10Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.846$50.33
10-04 15:04Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?BUY0.58$11.60
10-04 15:02Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.16$8.00
10-04 08:44Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?BUY0.76$5.98
10-04 07:33Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?BUY0.62$3.10
10-03 14:48Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?SELL0.14$11.20
09-29 08:49Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.94$10.34
09-29 08:48Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?BUY0.27$8.10
09-29 08:44Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?BUY0.13$1.30
09-25 16:30US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.17$34.00
09-25 06:42Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.14$70.00
09-25 06:38Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.23$23.00
09-25 06:37NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.31$15.50
09-24 14:08Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.07$1.40