commanderkim
0x472977845c1861bd08e44f338bd33220a1a80b39
- Realised P&L
- $270.43
- Volume
- $17.3k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $423.97
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$227.01at 0.425Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$135.80at 0.592Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$121.78at 0.275Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$79.72at 0.184Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$47.25at 0.527UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 06:36 | Modi out by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $4.21 |
| 10-05 01:10 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.846 | $50.33 |
| 10-04 15:04 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 10-04 15:02 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 10-04 08:44 | Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.76 | $5.98 |
| 10-04 07:33 | Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 10-03 14:48 | Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | SELL | 0.14 | $11.20 |
| 09-29 08:49 | Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.94 | $10.34 |
| 09-29 08:48 | Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.10 |
| 09-29 08:44 | Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 09-25 16:30 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $34.00 |
| 09-25 06:42 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $70.00 |
| 09-25 06:38 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 09-25 06:37 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.50 |
| 09-24 14:08 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |