PolyBot

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Traders

Pinkunicorntoes

0xd630283ab60e5ea46d3cacf78bc7081884a919c6

Realised P&L
$-218.45
Volume
$5.8k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$11.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.0600.045$7.50−$2.50
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31? · Yes0.3100.275$4.44−$0.56
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$7.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Up0.3900.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Australia? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Down0.3600.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$50.00
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$3.00
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Haiti? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$5.00
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 01:12Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?BUY0.3099999857$5.00
09-29 02:05Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?SELL0.0107455246$2.20
09-25 19:10Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.0599999995$5.00
09-25 19:06Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.0599999995$5.00
09-23 01:49Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?BUY0.292682924$10.00
09-18 22:18Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?BUY0.0571319746$5.00
09-17 13:24Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?BUY0.0599999995$5.00
07-27 20:30Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.4$5.00
07-27 20:25Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.359999977$5.00
07-27 20:21Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETBUY0.5$5.00
07-20 01:16Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETBUY0.3899999774$5.00
07-20 01:07Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.0299999943$5.00
07-20 01:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETSELL0.99$10.10
07-20 01:02Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETBUY0.4899999804$5.00
07-20 01:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETBUY0.4$5.00