0xe4668E1e7C85c5D8d5d6295E94c021FEA69d9531-1763389637925
0xe4668e1e7c85c5d8d5d6295e94c021fea69d9531
- Realised P&L
- $-102.04
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 298
- Open portfolio
- $58.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded298
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.86at 0.104Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
- +$20.49at 0.276Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
- +$16.72at 0.164Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
- +$13.59at 0.321Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$12.13at 0.191Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 15:26 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 10-10 18:45 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 18:11 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 18:09 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 10:57 | Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $4.88 |
| 10-04 14:33 | Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 10-03 17:31 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 10-02 10:55 | Will there be at least 4300 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 09-28 18:06 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 18:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-27 21:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $4.72 |
| 09-24 12:44 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-21 17:30 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.367 | $1.83 |
| 09-21 11:44 | Will there be at least 3700+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 11:40 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $3.10 |