PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe4668E1e7C85c5D8d5d6295E94c021FEA69d9531-1763389637925

0xe4668e1e7c85c5d8d5d6295e94c021fea69d9531

Realised P&L
$-102.04
Volume
$12.9k
Markets traded
298
Open portfolio
$58.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded298
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 15:26US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.3599999712$2.00
10-10 18:45Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?BUY0.1$2.00
10-08 18:11US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.8199999967$5.00
10-08 18:09US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.8099999352$5.00
10-05 10:57Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?BUY0.61$4.88
10-04 14:33Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.16$3.20
10-03 17:31Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?BUY0.21$2.10
10-02 10:55Will there be at least 4300 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?BUY0.09$1.80
09-28 18:06US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?BUY0.25$2.00
09-28 18:05US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.8$4.00
09-27 21:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?BUY0.59$4.72
09-24 12:44US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?SELL0.47$2.35
09-21 17:30US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.367$1.83
09-21 11:44Will there be at least 3700+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2$2.00
09-21 11:40Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.31$3.10