PolyBot

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Will ByteDance be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.002. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.001. Range 0.001 to 0.002. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.002115115
0.0115120
0.012156276
0.01510286
0.01670356
0.0178364
0.025113477
0.027100577
0.02850627
0.02985712
0.03240752
0.05650802

Spread0.001Mid0.002

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00122

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99922

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.998115115
0.9895120
0.988156276
0.98510286
0.98470356
0.9838364
0.975113477
0.973100577
0.97250627
0.97185712
0.96840752
0.94450802

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
caspar1248Yes900
1in1000Yes480
god83743894Yes230
smallreceiptYes215
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256Yes150
quietparcelYes130
TENETENETYes100
LornaPredictsYes92.07
HaradwaithYes79.9
e46m3Yes77.58
AJSVYes60.67
0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13Yes51.35
HerrieDavisYes50.67
.MentheYes50
KastellvalenYes40.2
northdrawerYes40
GingerMcKennaYes33.82
yallmateYes30
haveagooddayYes29
HappyHippocampusYes22.89

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:10:55SELLYes0.0013$0.00
13:08:33BUYYes0.001280$0.28
10:39:34BUYNo0.99910$9.99
10:39:34BUYNo0.99910$9.99
02:59:49BUYNo0.99920$19.98
02:54:51BUYNo0.9998$7.89
12:17:03SELLYes0.0015$0.01
07:01:55SELLYes0.0025$0.01
15:35:10BUYYes0.001170$0.17
02:20:26BUYNo0.9997$7.08
02:20:26BUYNo0.99930$29.97
02:20:21BUYNo0.99920$19.98
22:05:47SELLYes0.00120$0.02
22:05:38BUYNo0.9998$7.69
05:29:05SELLYes0.0012$0.00
05:28:57BUYNo0.99911$10.69
05:28:57BUYNo0.99910$9.99
05:28:54BUYNo0.99911$10.99
05:28:51BUYNo0.99914$14.29
13:04:27BUYNo0.99985$84.92
16:07:54BUYNo0.9986$5.99
16:00:57SELLYes0.00210$0.02
16:00:50BUYNo0.99810$9.98
16:00:47BUYNo0.99820$19.96
16:00:47BUYNo0.99810$9.98