HappyHippocampus
0xb5454dfe5c2bfa775d9815ab4035753504869d97
- Realised P&L
- $-30.90
- Volume
- $168.8k
- Markets traded
- 4,446
- Open portfolio
- $3.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,446
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.98at 0.001Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in June?
- +$7.06at 0.657Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 22?
- +$6.84at 0.375Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 9?
- +$6.81at 0.450Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.05at 0.408Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 17:58 | Will Graham Rahal win the 2026 NTT IndyCar Series? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 08-13 04:26 | Will Tyreek Hill play for the New York Giants next? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 08-10 13:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 10? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.05 |
| 08-04 03:07 | Will Micael win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.06 |
| 08-03 03:58 | Will Ranko Veselinović win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.06 |
| 08-02 19:33 | Will Genevieve Scott win the Republican Primary for U.S. Senate in Michigan? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.05 |
| 07-24 17:57 | Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 07-24 16:36 | Will Carlos Sainz Jr. get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 07-24 16:36 | Will Gabriel Bortoleto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 07-22 15:30 | Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.05 |
| 07-17 03:45 | Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.10 |
| 07-16 06:55 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.05 |
| 07-15 00:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 14? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.05 |
| 07-14 06:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 14? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.10 |
| 07-13 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on July 13? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |