PolyBot

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Traders

Kastellvalen

0xe5c271b727270f001c77104b019a03f86f0c6b76

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$160.0k
Markets traded
6,410
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,410
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 22:54Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.66$11.22
09-17 22:54Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.93$15.81
09-17 16:48Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 17?BUY0.96$4.80
09-17 13:59Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 19?BUY0.99$19.80
09-17 13:58Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 19?BUY0.88$17.60
09-17 13:58Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19?BUY0.8046258636$16.20
09-17 13:58Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.6723373215$13.60
09-17 12:26SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 17?BUY0.95$4.75
09-17 11:43SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 17?BUY0.91$4.55
09-17 11:23Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?SELL0.12$16.80
09-17 09:11Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 18?BUY0.95$7.60
09-17 09:11Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 18?BUY0.95$13.49
09-17 09:11Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 18?BUY0.6470716381$9.90
09-17 09:11Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 18?BUY0.95$13.49
09-17 08:03Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.54$2.70