Kastellvalen
0xe5c271b727270f001c77104b019a03f86f0c6b76
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $92.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,061
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,061
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.14at 0.722Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 23?
- +$33.67at 0.726Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 23?
- +$32.36at 0.943NBA Summer League: Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors
- +$30.60at 0.660Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 23?
- +$30.59at 0.660Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 08-02 22:38 | Exact Score: CA River Plate 3 - 1 CA Rosario Central? | BUY | 0.978 | $9.78 |
| 08-02 17:16 | Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.9671 | $48.35 |
| 08-02 13:16 | Exact Score: Brøndby IF 0 - 1 Viborg FF? | BUY | 0.95 | $48.45 |
| 07-29 16:45 | Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-29? | BUY | 0.997 | $48.85 |
| 07-29 10:12 | Targu Mures: Alice Rame vs Margaux Rouvroy | BUY | 0.9 | $39.60 |
| 07-29 08:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.949 | $5.69 |
| 07-29 07:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.952 | $9.52 |
| 07-29 05:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.988 | $9.88 |
| 07-29 04:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.986 | $9.86 |
| 07-29 01:14 | Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.991 | $12.88 |
| 07-28 19:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 28? | BUY | 0.96 | $7.68 |
| 07-28 19:03 | Exact Score: Heart of Midlothian FC 2 - 0 SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz? | BUY | 0.91 | $49.14 |
| 07-28 18:14 | Will Floriana FC win on 2026-07-28? | BUY | 0.9 | $49.50 |
| 07-28 15:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |