quietparcel
0x764b305694b026c1acce7bf862c3b5456a146bad
- Realised P&L
- $130.5k
- Volume
- $5.61M
- Markets traded
- 51,587
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded51,587
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.011Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$3.5kat 0.717Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
- +$3.5kat 0.240Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$3.5kat 0.300Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$3.2kat 0.010Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:40 | Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.15 |
| 09-17 22:38 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 30% or more? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.00 |
| 09-17 22:37 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.86 |
| 09-17 22:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.98 |
| 09-17 22:32 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.74 | $22.20 |
| 09-17 22:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.72 |
| 09-17 22:28 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on September 18? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 22:23 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 09-17 22:23 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 09-17 22:23 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.93 | $39.99 |
| 09-17 22:23 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election by 30%-35%? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.00 |
| 09-17 22:18 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 22:18 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 09-17 22:18 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 09-17 22:16 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.937 | $37.48 |