quietparcel
0x764b305694b026c1acce7bf862c3b5456a146bad
- Realised P&L
- $66.0k
- Volume
- $6.34M
- Markets traded
- 62,849
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded62,849
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.9kat 0.286Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$3.6kat 0.011Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$3.5kat 0.717Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
- +$3.5kat 0.007Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$3.4kat 0.300Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.20 |
| 11-02 01:34 | Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Almería in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.997 | $29.91 |
| 11-02 01:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.94 |
| 11-02 01:31 | Will Cal Raleigh win the 2026 American League MVP Award? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 11-02 01:23 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.94 |
| 11-02 00:59 | Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.08 |
| 11-02 00:48 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 3? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.09 |
| 11-02 00:48 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 3? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.13 |
| 11-02 00:16 | Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 11-02 00:16 | Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.993 | $29.79 |
| 11-02 00:15 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $25.35 |
| 11-02 00:14 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 2? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.989 | $29.67 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.989 | $44.51 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.47 | $21.15 |