PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.203. up 0.012 over the period, from 0.191. Range 0.166 to 0.343. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2552828
0.2592048
0.286654
0.2873589
0.374106195
0.375375570
0.8406576
0.85420596
0.8909605
0.9076611
0.90830641
0.93014656

Spread0.105Mid0.203

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1501313
0.134518
0.1322038
0.1161553
0.0931568
0.0772088
0.075594
0.07415109
0.06250159
0.061109268
0.02213280
0.02120300

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8501313
0.866518
0.8682038
0.8841553
0.9071568
0.9232088
0.925594
0.92615109
0.93850159
0.939109268
0.97813280
0.97920300

Spread0.105Mid0.797

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7452828
0.7412048
0.714654
0.7133589
0.626106195
0.625375570
0.1606576
0.14620596
0.1109605
0.0936611
0.09230641
0.07014656

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Dr.PNLYes544.23
LornaPredictsYes177.04
0x14117f3428c9Fc84b57cF7961b5e9E5F6Dce2410-1773994627349Yes100.76
GuyFromTinderYes69.49
SuperTestsYes68
AJSVYes31.85
DatosNoRelatosYes23.47
monoclithYes20
0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338Yes20
thecaricatureYes20
romanew-cryptoYes15.84
0x14b6E11b4eaf4AED0E1A4C35ff925e3b6f789E5A-1769423126395Yes15.15
FihdrzgddYes15
crossFiterYes12.11
0xF065aE5d1c067F28fB6AD39b04e72E4219373101-1769441553906Yes7.7
srfcYes2.63
POB1Yes1.49
PPMTYes1.31
79fsdfsYes1.22
libratus1No418.44

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:47:46SELLNo0.7713$2.45
05:26:36BUYNo0.85510$8.55
05:25:45BUYNo0.83522$18.46
05:25:42BUYNo0.8347$5.84
15:31:42SELLYes0.16510$1.65
03:51:00BUYNo0.816580$65.32
12:56:27BUYNo0.825999997520$16.56
12:56:27SELLYes0.20240$8.08
12:56:25SELLYes0.20220$4.04
12:56:22BUYNo0.796100$79.60
03:49:25BUYYes0.212999994623$5.00
13:07:49SELLYes0.2251$0.12
01:38:00BUYYes0.22196296327$5.99
00:22:18SELLYes0.188032258126$4.90
00:21:21SELLYes0.194461538538$7.41
00:21:19SELLYes0.19563$12.23
21:03:39SELLNo0.80517$13.41
21:03:19BUYYes0.193999999363$12.17
20:23:27BUYYes0.191999997526$5.00
20:23:15BUYYes0.193212446738$7.36
20:03:39BUYNo0.80520$16.10
00:22:21SELLNo0.80420$16.08
00:22:10SELLNo0.80420$16.08
00:22:09BUYYes0.19670$13.72
02:49:25SELLNo0.783$2.18