ebersuyo
0x05f79afd5131a55dffe151673d5f796b169ab680
- Realised P&L
- $-103.15
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $77.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.323 | 0.340 | $40.53 | +$2.04 |
| Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.795 | $23.16 | +$3.35 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.698 | 0.827 | $14.56 | +$2.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.68at 0.590Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?
- +$6.70at 0.179Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.34at 0.976Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$0.00at 0.320Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-143.23at 0.276Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 23:25 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.322858359 | $38.49 |
| 07-24 15:23 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $19.81 |
| 07-15 21:38 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6979999997 | $12.29 |
| 07-15 21:36 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.419 | $11.70 |
| 07-09 16:29 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 18:10 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 18:10 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1789999763 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 16:50 | Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15? | SELL | 0.9400592908 | $66.27 |
| 06-16 00:40 | Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15? | BUY | 0.589999999 | $41.60 |
| 06-16 00:39 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.984 | $42.34 |
| 06-11 04:08 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.976 | $42.00 |
| 06-09 14:52 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0630270391 | $42.47 |
| 06-08 05:45 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2755843815 | $185.70 |