PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x14b6E11b4eaf4AED0E1A4C35ff925e3b6f789E5A-1769423126395

0x14b6e11b4eaf4aed0e1a4c35ff925e3b6f789e5a

Realised P&L
$-29.11
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
311
Open portfolio
$3.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded311
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31? · Yes0.3300.202$3.05$1.95
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026? · Yes0.1900.065$0.55$1.07
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx · Seattle Storm0.3400.000$0.00$3.40
Will AT&T (T) Q2 total revenue be above $31.8B? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets · New York Mets0.3000.000$0.00$3.74
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 · Over0.5300.000$0.00$4.90
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles0.1800.000$0.00$1.87
Spurs vs. Knicks · Spurs0.8400.000$0.00$5.00
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers0.5100.000$0.00$7.67
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Los Angeles Dodgers0.6300.000$0.00$7.70
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? · No0.4800.000$0.00$0.75
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) · Spurs0.5000.000$0.00$5.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 19:15Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?BUY0.33$5.00
07-24 18:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.9$5.46
07-24 17:58Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.993$1.38
07-24 16:21Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.993$10.34
07-16 18:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.99$4.34
07-16 04:08Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026?BUY0.1899999226$1.62
07-14 10:14Will Europe Win the WSOP Main EventSELL0.0907407407$1.22
07-13 09:49Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?SELL0.717$1.89
07-13 09:48Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?SELL0.717$1.29
07-13 09:48Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?SELL0.716$1.61
07-12 08:50Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?SELL0.2$1.52
07-12 08:07Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?SELL0.41$2.16
07-12 08:04Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.58$7.18
07-11 19:29Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?BUY0.5899999887$3.12
07-10 21:27US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?BUY0.91$9.99