0x14117f3428c9Fc84b57cF7961b5e9E5F6Dce2410-1773994627349
0x14117f3428c9fc84b57cf7961b5e9e5f6dce2410
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $77.6k
- Markets traded
- 560
- Open portfolio
- $8.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded560
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.95at 0.379Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$69.56at 0.422Will the Freedom Movement (GS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
- +$61.83at 0.382Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-07-20?
- +$50.64at 0.437Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?
- +$49.11at 0.890Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:05 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $7.83 |
| 09-16 08:10 | Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.795 | $55.65 |
| 09-16 07:21 | Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | BUY | 0.124 | $9.92 |
| 09-16 06:45 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-16 06:45 | California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 05:52 | Will Waymo launch in Tokyo, Japan by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 09-16 04:27 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 09-16 04:24 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.64 |
| 09-16 04:18 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 09-16 03:44 | Will Waymo launch in New Orleans, LA by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.38 |
| 09-16 03:38 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $4.68 |
| 09-16 02:59 | Will Caleb Williams finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards? | BUY | 0.81 | $80.99 |
| 09-15 21:50 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.11 | $10.89 |
| 09-15 12:01 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $4.76 |
| 09-15 11:59 | Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.88 |