PolyBot

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Traders

srfc

0x82258c7559007734dad7eef70f55f9f4c1301367

Realised P&L
$-11.30
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$0.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 11:01Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?BUY0.3799999012$1.00
07-31 14:45Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.6$1.00
06-27 13:27Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
05-30 15:02Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.2089999998$1.00
04-25 12:22US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.5699994984$1.00
03-15 06:33Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 9, 2026?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
03-10 07:23Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?SELL0.74$2.55
03-10 07:23Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?SELL0.77$3.50
03-08 10:52Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
03-06 16:08UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.4099998237$1.00
03-05 08:04Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.3859998487$1.00
03-04 12:06Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL0.135$4.49
03-03 14:51Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.0222222222$1.00
03-03 14:48Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?SELL0.961$3.43
02-26 12:45Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?BUY0.4899998285$1.00