0xF065aE5d1c067F28fB6AD39b04e72E4219373101-1769441553906
0xf065ae5d1c067f28fb6ad39b04e72e4219373101
- Realised P&L
- $-38.94
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 253
- Open portfolio
- $11.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded253
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.977 | $5.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · No | 0.900 | 0.899 | $4.13 | −$0.00 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.230 | $1.77 | −$0.77 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? · Yes | 0.401 | 0.260 | $0.26 | −$0.14 |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5) · Spurs | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Search & other revenue be above $65B? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) · Minnesota Twins | 0.827 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.42 |
| Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs · Athletics | 0.828 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.20at 0.882Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4AM ET
- +$1.64at 0.830Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.28at 0.940Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?
- +$1.21at 0.914Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. UCLA Bruins
- +$1.19at 0.930Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-02-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:31 | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.13 |
| 07-24 19:15 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.54 |
| 07-13 13:40 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.04 |
| 07-13 02:45 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 08:05 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $5.65 |
| 07-12 08:04 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $6.50 |
| 07-05 05:14 | Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Search & other revenue be above $65B? | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 01:22 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15? | SELL | 0.984 | $9.93 |
| 07-03 04:22 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15? | BUY | 0.9789999984 | $9.88 |
| 06-05 02:40 | Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.8279999914 | $7.28 |
| 06-05 00:47 | Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) | BUY | 0.7799999821 | $5.22 |
| 06-05 00:47 | Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) | BUY | 0.8639999856 | $7.20 |
| 06-04 20:37 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999786 | $5.83 |
| 06-04 01:06 | Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | BUY | 0.7399998964 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 19:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $13.81 |